so is SPY the best options gamble for these kind of days? +500% on some friday expiry or is there... another
Leo Smith
is there any way to backtest buying 6 month to expiration calls on QQQ on -3% nasdaq days?
Lincoln Fisher
Hot take: I think we'll have a slow bleedoff and no huge crashes. It's been bad this year, but I expect more of the same.
Looking at the 2Y>10Y, it's only recently inverted, and it took a year or two for it to crash back down, just in term for the 07-08 selloff. Also, the gold:silver ratio isn't as high as it should be, and in fact recently sold off (gold went down and/or silver went up).
Right now, macro conditions don't seem like we'll have a crash and will probably keep bleeding off
Hotter take: everything is fucked. Inflation won't go down until mortgages are higher than CPI Horrific inflation or a hard landing is inevitable
Aiden Price
Yeah, pretty much.
Jace Myers
It's sabotage from Russian spies and cyber war, like the lng terminal. They also target arms production and stockpiles around Europe. Same goes on inside Russia look at their fires
Logan Thomas
Also weird that explosion at Hoover dam along with problems regarding Lake Mead.
Nolan Garcia
Cool didn't think to factor inflation and 30y mortgage rates onto my chart. Will have another look, thanks
Jordan Morgan
No, this is finger bangs your wife
Hudson Bell
I'm not a perma bear but yeah pretty much... retarded goy perma bulls buy the top for days or weeks with terrible macro and shitpost about how the line only goes up and then in a single fucking day of red dildos the whole rally falls apart. The bulls never learn and they keep getting rugged on the dumbest thesis (hey goys I heard a rumor jpow is reversing rate hikes don't tell anyone it's a secret)
Andrew Jones
Just a reminder, trash like this will get what in a week what someone slaving away logging 50 hours a week in Madagascar will make in a year.
Anyone have that wristwatch guide with all the Pepes?
Eli Davis
I'm so fucking happy! I've been waiting a while for a nice 3% down day. Are the F.E.D. going to pivot, or is this the start of the big one?
Owen Phillips
I'm not a perma bear but perma bulls are retarded as fuck.. over and over and over again they shitpost and try to rally the market for weeks on bad macro and the whole world being a dumpster fire. They mock bears and call them schizo while the macro is all fucked. In a single day of red dildos on actual data everything is undone.
THE US WILL BE ROYALLY FUCKED IF CHINA INVADES TAIWAN. BECAUSE WE ARE USING OUR RESERVE OIL. OIL WILL MOON UP-TOWARDS $200+ BECAUSE OF WAR. IT WILL BE MADE EVEN WORSE BECAUSE BECAUSE WE DEPLETED OUR Strategic Petroleum Reserve. ELECTRIC CAR BAY BAY!!! WHAT BETTER WAY TO FORCE YOU TO LOWER YOUR CARBON EMISSION THAN BY MAKING IT UNAFFORDABLE TO DRIVE! DRIVING WILL BECOME A LUXURY! STAY IN YOUR HOUSE!!!
FUNNY ENOUGH DIGITAL DOLLAR AKA FED COIN AKA CBDC IS ALSO BEING LAUNCHED NEXT YEAR? THE POOR WILL NEED A HANDOUT TO SURVIVE...
NEXT YEAR IS GOING TO BE A SHITSHOW WORSE THAN 2020.
HAHAHAHahAHAHaH Welcome to the DECADE OF DESTRUCTION.
BE A GOOD LITTLE OLE TRANNY GAY BOI OR YOU GET NO COIN FOR YOUR FOOD AND NETFLIX AND GAY SEX.
>or is this the start of the big one? Im failing the screenshot rule by not selling because I legitimately don't know. Fundamentally we're due for another 15% drop but PPT and stock buyback type shenanegans have propped us up so far so why not now?
Carter Williams
look at the fucking charts its all recovering right now, you stupid fucking bears!
Parker Sanchez
Hello, Friends! Here is your mid-morning, or mid-day news! It's a doozy today
US News >CPI exceeds forecast and rises 8.3%, holding four decade high. Core CPI rose 6.3% on a yearly basis, and 0.6% on a monthly basis. Gas prices fell, but food and housing prices rose >Amtrak’s longest routes have been suspended in anticipation of rail strikes. Amtrak, nor its employees, are not involved in negotiations. However, Amtrak does use tracks operated by Companies that are involved >US Household Income was completely flat last year. Did not rise, or fall. >Twitter’s former head of security, who blew the whistle on Twitter covering up poor data privacy, testified in Congress. >Twitter Shareholders approve Elon Musk’s $44 Billion takeover bid >U.S. Banks lost a record $370 Billion in Deposits last quarter. People are taking their money out of banks >Starbucks will outline their strategic revamp today >Mitch MocConnell’s Super Pac takes control of Republican ad spending for upcoming election >US Senate Foreign Relations Committee is poised to vote on a $4.5 Billion bill that would finance weapons exports to Taiwan >Cracks are beginning to show in companies with very high amounts of debt. Companies such as: 99 Cents Only Stores, Adler, AMC, etc. Many of the companies with very high debt are in Germany, and China. While the US has companies with high-debt as well, it is not as significant a portion as German and Chinese companies.
World: >Serbia asks IMF and UAE for support as borrowing costs rise >Germany promises $67 Billion to bolster struggling energy companies >Jean-Luc Godard passes away at 91
either there will be fear selling all the way into the FOMC meeting and then maybe some stabilization once people know whats going on, or the reverse. stabilization now, mild crab into FOMC and then dump once people get the news that fed is going to continue hikes and data doesnt look good.
William Sullivan
why would chian invade Taiwan when they can just wait us out? why do braincels not understand this?
If tw is invaded oil prolly crashes along with all equities. Global shipping and trade will crater, your gpu will quadruple in value overnight and you want to go to the nearest stores and buy anything with a chip in it
Joshua Ramirez
what does this eurodollars futures curve mean? Fed raises rates to 4.5%, then something breaks and they have to lower rates again?
No, once the bulls have been buck broken we can return to normal.
They. Will. Learn.
Anthony Wilson
christ this is an epic battle of algos going on right now
Jackson Rivera
what news just dropped
Carter Hernandez
the market is in your hands baggie. just switch to calls and seal the deal.
Blake Jackson
>>US Household Income was completely flat last year. Did not rise, or fall. That means inflation's working. >>Jean-Luc Godard passes away at 91 New Wave movies sucked dick.
Hudson Peterson
Long time listener, first time caller here. You are a fren!
Now add the inflation on top of that. 8.3% YoY, estimate YTD by doing 8.3% * (8.5/12 months) = 7.1% inflation YTD. Total down amounts:
>VTI Down 17.6% nominal, 7.1% inflation = 24.7% YTD >BND Down 12.9% nominal, 7.1% inflation = 20.0% YTD
Why does Biden's America hate hardworking people who are saving for retirement so much?
Ayden Barnes
>any eventuality could happen!: the post
This is like John Madden saying “the team with the most points at the end of the game will win” or Cramer saying “the market could go up, down or crab”.
Jack Scott
thank you for your work news-user
Ian Evans
>>U.S. Banks lost a record $370 Billion in Deposits last quarter. People are taking their money out of banks
This would lead me to believe we are heading to record profits. I reckon we get some really fucking stellar earnings reports in the coming quarter.
>>U.S. Banks lost a record $370 Billion in Deposits last quarter. People are taking their money out of banks jesus christ
Mason Rogers
Because if China is economically fucked as some are saying right now with their real estate bubble and bank runs they might as well say fuck it and invade. Can blame everything on the US
No idea how you got 4.5% from but thats the general idea.
Xavier Martin
the bond market does all the decisions not the fed who cares somethings going on the markets acting schizo since the top of the hour
Jaxson Rodriguez
>jesus christ coupled with record credit card balances this means that inflation has officially heemed the US consumer
Luis Diaz
no, i basically said there is no bull thesis short term and im staying in my shorts. down or crab, no up.
Bentley James
>markets acting schizo >very suspicious pump on a brutally red day you know what comes next
Parker Torres
fed funds traders are the bond market, retard
Jackson Edwards
>370 billion >out of 20 trillion Not my problem
Cameron Scott
If chinks invade Taiwan it's unironically the apocalypse. It would corner USA and Europe so badly that there would be no choice but to go to war with China over Taiwan, which would inevitably escalate into a nuclear war. Which is why the chinks keep giving out final warnings and holding pointless dickwaving "military excercises" instead of doing anything, they know it's suicide even if everyone else loses too. They'll probably wait like goodcucks for the west to decouple their supply chains from China and Taiwan, and then do it to avoid putting the west into a forced war scenario.
t. Sun Tsu
Carter Scott
then why does the fed make decisions after the bond market makes them for them
Ryan Lewis
FUCK I thought it would have gone down a little more but its all going fucking up WTF
