ITT we come up with LINK price predictions

Using reasonable (((top-to-bottom))) assumptions, showing our math.

I'll go first
>BTC at $1M
implied mkt cap of BTC = $21T
>BTC is established as the main store of value, but the rest of the space keeps growing with more and more complexity. BTC dominance falls to 10%.
implied total crypto mkt cap = $21T/0.1 = $210T
>DeFi complexity grows (derivatives etc). As a consequence, TVL as a % of total mkt cap grows from current levels (4%) to around 25% (~2x btc dominance)
implied DeFi TVL = $210T *.25 = $52.5T
>Chainlink's mkt cap as a % of DeFi TVL has gotten to 30% in good times, right now it's around 8%. As it continues to grow within DeFI (and outside, with CCIP etc), its ratio goes back up. Not quite to the all time highs, but maybe 25% of TVL.
implied chainlink mkt cap (fully diluted) = $52.5T * .25 = $13.125T
implied LINK price = $13.125T / 1B tokens = $13,125.


>Retards who think the token is not needed don't need to participate.

t.og linklet

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All seems very reasonable but still a good few years away. What are the numbers needed for 1k per?

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>13,125
are you from one of those weird countries that put a comma instead of a decimal? why do you only record three decimal places, fuddie when chainlink brand LINK tokens have eighteen digits?

sorry to break it to you, but LINK will never be worth more than $80 ever.

link runs to $120 in 2025 as part of the next bullrun. It crashes to $35 and stays there until 2027.

It will move around in the $60,000 to $100,000 USD range with less than 1% of the supply available for sale at any time, by 2030.
I don't need to plug in any numbers I have literally seen the future.

Attached: holdingLINK.png (2424x1420, 3.21M)

>Using reasonable (((top-to-bottom))) assumptions, showing our math.

>No reasonable (((top to bottom))) assumptions
>No math

Please follow the thread's rules.

Please follow the rules.
See

In what universe does BTC achieve a 21 market cap?
Assblaster believed LINK will never go above $100

a universe where it reaches 10% of USD fiat market cap
Also assblaster was wrong, slave morality user

I know the meme of 81.000 but is such a thing even possible? It assumes that Link will single-handedly capture all these markets.

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staking doesn’t need collateral to be the same as TVL

we already know it's going to $12m, who cares about the inbetween stages

It only needed to capture a small percentage of these markets to achieve these prices, however with super linear staking factored in the most it can ever go to us close to high 3 digits. Fuck ari juels

Elaborate

>Uses comma instead of decimal
Like all of the English speaking world?

>reasonable (((top-to-bottom))) assumptions
>implied mkt cap of BTC = $21T
how the fuck is that reasonable?

This chart is old but still relevant

Attached: mkap.jpg (1024x706, 161K)

There doesn't need to be a 1:1 collateral anymore between tokens staked and value locked in a contract, significantly reducing the value of each link token.

>he thought a system where LINK needed to be worth trillions of dollars each to secure quadrillions of dollars of collateral was actually viable and realistic