AHHHHHHHH

AHHHHHHHH

THE BOND YIELDS ARE 0.1% FROM INVERSION POINT

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Nothing new. It already inverted like 2 months ago for a few hours.

This time it's different.

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whats inverted mean

can someone explain this to me like im a retard

Typically short term bonds have a lower yield than long term bonds, as you can see on that graph. However, you can also see around 2001 for example that the shape of the line changes and curves the other way, indicating short term has a better yield than long term.

This is almost always followed by a recession.

didnt we already invert and literally nothingberg?

It isn't a direct, immediate trigger. The general trend is within 2 years a recession. This one will be faster but not literally the day of. Same with eurodollar futures curve inversion, Grantham's "impending doom" indicator, etc.

wait so is the recession going to kill the next crypto bullrun?

>Within 2 years
I don't know how to tell you this bro, your indicator is utterly fucking worthless.

I don't know how to tell you this bro, you're totally not bussin' and your understanding of finance is cap frfr

>If your engine warning light indicator shows your engine is close to exploading it’s worthless as the engine doesnt explode within 10 seconds of the warning light coming on

Zoomies literally have fried dopamine receptors

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this
Actual econ teacher here.
Most indicators are stupid and made up.
Literally astrology.

I teach most of my students that policy has little impact on economics and it's entirely created from individuals and corporations and their decisions.

For example gas prices is entirely created by the stupid fucking companies.

We enter recession because of a few greedy old white men, nothing more.

There is A LOT more than just the inversion of the 2s and 10s which occured. Right now what is happening to crypto is Celsius is going insolvent. Other than that, the eurodollar futures curve inverted last year, Grantham's indicator triggered, South Korea triggered 5/5 of the Bank of International Settlements' recession indicators. China and multiple other countries triggered 4. Evergrande defaulted on its bond payments and housing sales in their largest city are down 40% yoy with multiple other developers having defaulted since then. Savings in the US are lower than they were in September 2008 (Lehman) and consumer credit is shooting absurdly higher and delinquencies are beginning to spike. Reverse repos are at an all time high and repo fails are spiking which speaks to a liquidity crunch, described also by the dollar's performance against other currencies (it is mostly crushing everyone but the Ruble and Real) and recent action with the tanking of the Yen. There is an opaque area in credit markets called "buy now pay later" which is basically like today's ninja loans which we can only see a percent of but providers are getting SLAUGHTERED in the market, and delinquencies here are rising. Demand destruction has set in and large retailers are getting slaughtered in the market. Celsius is currently going insolvent and literally immediately after UST died, USDT began "coincidentally" hosting P2P USDT lending offering 30% and within a week of that, dumped $10B in marketcap from large redemptions-milking retail for liquidity and existing liquid assets. Stablecoin regulations requiring reserve audits will temporarily send the market to oblivion when Tether is squeezed and idiots who hold it will be left holding worthles Chinese commercial paper and probably El Salvadoran bond fractional value. Literally so much more. We are entering something bigger than GFC. Every asset class will crash, especially crypto. But regulatorily secure utility will come back.

>You don't teach economics.
>Go back to plebbit

Only Any Forums can look at inverted yield curves and believe that inflation is here to stay. Absolute embarrassment.

Celsius going insolvent is what is currently happenign to Eth btw. It may not happen imminently but it will happen soon

What’s the significance of the line going lower and lower with time? Is it that yields are getting less and less in real terms due to inflation or something?

Stfu kike.

Stop trying to fit in.

Nigger were 3 years on now. If you had shorted the market in 2019 you would have 100% roped by now

this
>recession in 2 years bro
>JUST WAIT 5 YEARS BRO
>10 MORE YEARS TILL MARKET CRASH

>old white men
You spelled jewish wrong.

Yields are getting less and less in nominal terms (and even more so real terms) because the fed now keeps them artificially low to pump stocks. They no longer follow the natural supply and demand of money

What are you talking about? Inversions are very good predictor of recessions. As good as anything in econ which is basically all astrology.

This is completely wrong. The FED doesn't control interest rates. Economic conditions doesn't allow for high interest rates and the FED follows suit.

>teacher
Fuck off
>gas prices has everything to do with corpos
Oh, really? Nothing to do with the FED printing over 40% of the current dollars in circulation in the past 2 years? I mean they basically doubled the currency supply. In what world does that not have an impact on purchasing power?

Kys keynesian, keynes even admitted that his studies would have come to very different results had he known of austrian school of economics beforehand.
Reason why keynesianism is popular and taught today is entirely because it is exactly what politicians want to hear and want people to believe to silently squeeze the purchasing power out of the pockets of common people. That because the average normie is way too dumb and ignorant to realise real losses. They just understand nominal losses and cant comprehend that 8% inflation kills your 5% pay increase and you still end up poorer.

>something that never happened
>somewhat indicating anything
yeah, no

The tendency of the rate of profit to fall means over time investing had lower and lower returns. We are now reaching the stage of finance capital having almost no returns