Seems like the markets are immune to everything. >New COVID variants >Chinese real estate bubble/Evergrande >War/Threats of WW3 >Supply Ship backogs >President claiming future food shortages >Fuel and Fertilizer prices >Fed tightening policies >Mortgages crashing
Every market is pumping right now. I don't know what drives it. So I have no idea what would have to be taken away for it to crash. There doesn't seem to be any rule to this game except buy every dip and hope the the next dip stops higher than the previous. Even the permabears on youtube have turned bullish.
>Every market is pumping right now unironically wait until the fed drops a 0.75% rate increase or something im still riding this but look at mortgage backed securities, we're playing musical chairs right now
Dylan Johnson
1999 had no black swan triggers. They just raised rates and boom that was it, companies started losing 60% in a day
Christian Ross
Pensions running dry or food shortages lasting more than 3 days. the same things that have brought down literally every empire over time.
Owen Baker
The fed is pumping it up. Wait until they tighten and cause a mad decimation.
John Wood
None of the other empires had the haber Bosch process, so nix the food shortage thing
Matthew Miller
You can add >Potential end of the petrodollar if Saudis sell oil in yuan
Blake Ortiz
You can't distill potatoes out of thin air user. 1 bad harvest and you're on the bug paste patties.
Aiden Gutierrez
haber bosch has a net negative eroei ratio, it was only used by south africa to make oil because it was literally their only way to produce any after being cut off from trade. inversed haber bosch just gets used for nitrogen fixing fertilizers. and if you want to make thay fertilizer the infeed needs to be oil. its a cool tool but its not a magical fountain of wealth, it has costs and inputs like any chemical process. like how desalination is technically east as fuck, desalination performed at scale and for profit is basically impossible, same principles apply. >t. chem eng
Levi Morgan
The only true black swan is an entire government suddenly deciding to change economic policy away from money printing. Otherwise, of course things go up, because the numbers when it comes that printing are unfathomably huge compared to the effects of any "real" event in the world.
At this point? A zombie apocalypse or nukes being launched. Maybe if the FED raised rates more than 0.25% at a time and actually started reducing their balance sheet, but we all know that isn't going to happen.
Wyatt Hughes
This, if the fed wants to reach its target rate, one increase has to be at least .5%. This would probably cause a slight dump
Luke Morgan
A nuke on a city pretty much.
Adam Reyes
predictions for food shortages in the next 10-20 years?
Connor Price
Putin buying oil with the massive amount of gold he acquired today. Tradebots would sink the dollar on the arbitrage play
Jordan Ross
cyberattacks will cause the great reset. CBDCs will be mandatory after a cyberattack on banks.
David Young
>Even the permabears on youtube have turned bullish. There's your signal.
