▶Latest >Vatnigger authorities in Kupiansk say that Russian army began to defend the city, additional reinforcement entered the region >Representative of General staff of the UAF says over 20 settlements were liberated in Kharkiv Oblast >There's no panic in Balakleya >UAF captured areas in the north of Kherson oblast, including Vysokopilia, as well as Ozerne in Donbass oblast >UAF commander: From Aug 31 to Sep 2, a pair of Bayraktar TB2s destroyed 8 T-72s, one 2S3 Akatsyia SPG, BMP and towed howitzers, 5 T-72s and one IFV were damaged >Ravil Maganov, chairman of the board of Russia's second largest oil company Lukoil, died after falling from a window >Strelkov: All 4 Kherson bridges aren't operational >UAF launched a counteroffensive in Kherson Oblast >Shoigu: Russia is slowing down the offensive on purpose to minimize civilian casualties >25 people died from Russian missile attack on Independence Day >Fires across eastern Ukraine including Mariupol and the ZNPP >Putin signs a decree to increase the Russian armed forces by 137,000 to 1.15 million >Germany to send IRIS-T air defense systems in the coming weeks >US to send $3 billion in aid to Ukraine (largest one yet) >Azov denies Vovk Natalya's ever served in the Azov regiment
In one of the better articles in the western MSM (main-stream media) - this time the Wall Street Journal, retired American general (why do retired officers dare to write sober articles?) Mark T. Kimmitt, (U.S. Army brigadier general-retired, Assistant Secretary of state for political-military affairs, 2008-09) says the following:
>...dwindling stocks of leading-edge weapon systems" in NATO countries will inevitably lead to a prolonged conflict, and a longer war will in turn result in "more pressure from supporting nations, sustained inflation, less heating gas, and falling popular support." " >This likely will mean muddling through a long war, with more casualties." >In modern high-intensity warfare, logistics is the Achilles' heel. Good training, great tactics and brave soldiers are critical, but without weapons, food and fuel, armies grind to a halt. That may be what is happening as the battlefield becomes static and a breakthrough looks unlikely.”
Another aspect is medical care. Because if you are not there in the "golden hour" after an injury, irreversible losses can grow enormously. A look at the logistical picture of the war in Ukraine gives us a basis for forecasting its development. Let's look at the situation at the front:
Russian forces are only a few dozen to a few hundred kilometers away from the Russian border (Crimea is included here). For one of the largest armies in the world, this is practically in the backyard. In the event of a serious conflict, the Russian army, in its doctrine, envisages military action mostly at a distance of up to 1000 km from its borders. Which, given the size of its territory and the capacity of its "airlift", does not mean that this belt will be expanded if necessary.
Russia also fully controls its own and Ukrainian airspace ("air supremacy"), which means that there is no danger of an air attack on its logistics routes (we will talk about the artillery threat later). Likewise, the sources of raw materials, fuels, and food are practically inexhaustible. The same applies to industrial capacities. Most of them are hundreds if not thousands of kilometers behind the front line. Strategic capacities are mostly behind the Urals. If we look specifically at military capacities, especially the production of consumables, i.e. munitions, the Russian Federation inherited the enormous capacities of the former Soviet Union, which maintained an army of approximately 4 million soldiers in peacetime and several times as many in wartime. Let's be clear, in a potential war with the collective West (over 800 million inhabitants during the OT) and not in some local war with a country with a population of 40 million. In order to threaten these industrial capacities, the adversary would have to possess weapons of a strategic nature.
The Russian population (with recent migrations) is slightly less than 150 million people. If we take the historical standard that a maximum of one twelfth of the population can be mobilized, i.e. just over 8% of the population, that would mean 12 million soldiers. Given the current age structure of the population and the nature of modern warfare, this figure is far exaggerated (and unnecessary). Officially, the Russian Federation has 2.2 million people as a military reserve (people who have completed their military service, who have basic military knowledge and are in the appropriate age group - up to 35 years old).
Jack Gonzalez
not sure anyone posted about the new aid package for Ukraine
>The latest batch of security assistance to Ukraine includes: >Additional ammunition for High Mobility >Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS) >1,000 155mm rounds of Remote Anti-Armor Mine Systems >Four 105mm Howitzers and 36,000 105mm artillery rounds >Additional High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles (HARMs) >100 Armored High-Mobility Multipurpose Wheeled Vehicles (HMMWV), better known as Humvees >1.5 million rounds of small arms ammunition >More than 5,000 anti-armor systems >Additional grenade launchers and small arms >50 armored medical treatment vehicles >Night vision devices and other field equipment. 100 more humvees god damn
On the other hand, we have Ukraine, which inherited the enormous military-industrial capacities of the former Soviet Union. To mention only a few: Mališev in Kharkiv, which was the world's largest development and production tank center in the world, Motor Sich - one of the largest manufacturers of gas turbines for helicopters in the world, Antonov - one of the world's largest manufacturers (also the largest) of aircraft, mainly transport, Juzhmash - one of the world's largest manufacturers of military ballistic (Satan...) and civilian missiles (Zenit), to companies that manufactured instruments and satellites for the aviation and space industry in Donbass, to shipyards in Nikolaev that manufactured Soviet aircraft carriers.
Unlike the Russian Federation, in the 30 years from 1991 to the present, most of these capacities have failed for several reasons. Firstly, that these capacities were significantly too large and too demanding to be maintained by a country with a little over 50 million people at the time, secondly, that it was significantly more profitable to sell the old military supplies of the SZ than to maintain and develop its own industry, and last but not least, because Ukraine was (and is) too corrupt to be able to conduct a serious development policy. Although the Ukrainian military industry was a mere shadow of its former superpower before this conflict, and much of its professional personnel had either retired or moved to the Russian Federation, the industry was still a force to be reckoned with
Was - until this war. Why? Because the forces of the Russian Federation systematically destroyed the production, development and service centers of this industry
What does that mean? This means that the Ukrainian army, which lost more than 80% of its equipment in half a year, is vitally dependent on supplies from the collective West. Ukraine is no longer capable of seriously servicing its own equipment, let alone producing it under such conditions
Brayden Clark
>Russia also fully controls its own and Ukrainian airspace ("air supremacy")
By the way, maintaining military equipment in combat conditions is a very demanding task, which significantly affects the military effectiveness of the units that use it. It requires excellent staff training and solid equipment. This technique works in the worst possible conditions, breakdowns and injuries due to the actions of the opponent are a regular occurrence. Repair of this technique or cannibalization is necessary and significantly reduces material needs. Can the Ukrainians do this with imported unknown technology? Very very difficult.
This is not the case only with our technique. Let us mention the German "help" in the thousands of Strela anti-aircraft missiles of the former East German army, which spent at least 3 decades in the warehouses of the Federal Republic of Germany (not to mention another decade in the warehouses of the Democratic Republic of Germany). Apparently, only every 3rd to 5th "fired". Do you think that there is something different with the American M777 howitzers, which are extremely demanding to maintain?
That's one part of the problem. Another part is manpower. Close to half of approx. 250 thousand members of the professional army that Ukraine had at the beginning of the conflict are either killed or ejected from the machine due to injuries. There are fewer and fewer professionals who are highly trained to use this technique. There is also less and less human potential for recruiting soldiers. Ukraine mobilized an additional 400,000 troops after the outbreak of hostilities. Out of a total of more than 700,000 soldiers, probably 1/3 of them were thrown from the machine after half a year (about 100,000 killed, the rest wounded). Ukraine, in a situation where it can practically no longer recruit male forces, has turned in recent weeks to the mobilization of women.
Adam Russell
>Only a hundred Fucking wasted in Iraq and Afghanistan
Why is the problem of people's potential so bad? Because the population of Ukraine fell from 52 million in 1991 to 42 million (officially in 2022). It is one of the biggest demographic catastrophes in recent European history. In reality, the situation is significantly worse. Why? Because by the time these conflicts began, almost 10 million Ukrainians had emigrated due to economic hopelessness and the forced Ukrainization of the Russian population. Of the remaining 42 million, almost a third is the elderly population, mostly retirees.
Ukraine no longer has either human or technical reserves.
And that's not all. All Ukrainian refineries were bombed, some repeatedly. Today in Ukraine there is a shortage of diesel not only for the population and industry, but also for tanks. The capacity of the railway infrastructure, which is almost entirely electrified, was limited by systematic Russian bombing of transformers. To make matters worse, the shutdown of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant and thermal power plants in Donbas will significantly affect the supply of electricity. Industrial production fell by almost half. What will happen if the supply of Russian gas stops in the fall, on which industry depends to a greater extent than Western Europe and, above all, the heating of the population? Then Ukraine will be practically without energy. Therefore, it is not surprising that Zelenskiy constantly calls on the West to give him decisive support before winter. Because otherwise it will be difficult to survive this winter.
This long introduction is so that the reader can understand what it means - a war of attrition. General Kimmitt points out: >... a war of attrition is not the war a smaller country wants to fight against a much larger invading army.
Charles Foster
Boris, the tranny discord spam isn't working Start the wall of text flood
Owen White
She's not even hate fuckable, just a wretched cunt.
Brief thoughts on UA Kharkiv offensive. It appears ambitious, intended to envelop Izyum and try to trap Russian forces there. Likely seeking to interdict ground lines of communication at Kupyansk. The Oskil river east of Izyum makes the pocket vulnerable for RU forces. 1/
UA offensive looks to have made substantial gains, placing RU forces in a precarious position. From what one can tell, and these are early impressions, the advance made good use of armor in conjunction with infantry. 2/
Russian forces appear to have been spread thinly, and mil leadership unprepared despite earlier evidence of UA buildup. I think it’s fair to assess that RU was caught by surprise with little in the way of reserves locally available. 3/
Russia’s manpower issues, dependence on lower quality or mobilized LDNR forces, inability to conduct rotation, and struggles with retaining personnel are all issues at play here. In addition, Russian mil also deployed most of its better troops to Kherson and Zapo in August. 4/
Despite the success of UA breakout by Kharkiv, I don’t see Kherson as a diversion. These appear to be interrelated offensives. Kherson likely intended as a more deliberate, sequenced advance. Kharkiv to take advantage of favorable conditions & attain a rapid breakthrough.
>russia: ah, they have foolishly told us they can only afford one offensive at a time and it's in kherson it begs the fucking question: HOW? HOW are russians so fucking blind and lost to a literal meme? do they really have no intelligence whatsoever about whats really going on on the battlefield? like do they do this completely blind? fucking embarrassing being outsmarted by a literal meme move if FSB should have a complete network, technology and budget of a whole "superpower" behind their backs to at least recognize this we are truly lucky they are this stupid How the fuck
The above statement explains why the Russians are in no hurry. Why are they maintaining a positional war in which Ukraine is wasting its remaining equipment and manpower with minimal own losses. Not to mention the wastage of Western equipment and ammunition – European countries significantly reduced the supply of military equipment and ammunition after June of this year due to the exhaustion of their own stocks and insufficient own industrial military capacities.
Do you think the problem of industrial capacity is trivial? Russian artillery uses 40 to 60 thousand shells DAILY! 3 decades ago, grenades cost between $600 and $2,000 each! Now multiply that by 60 thousand and you get the daily ammo production values! (plus add 30 years of inflation!).
Ukrainian artillery uses only a tenth of these amounts per day. Because the West is not able to supply more for the time being (and for quite some time to come), because the Russians destroy part of it already on the way to the front, because Russian smuggling of Ukrainian artillery and ammunition stocks is quite effective.
Can you imagine what this means for Ukrainian soldiers on the front lines?
You now understand why the experienced American General Kimmitt from the opening link of this article and the experienced American diplomat and former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger are calling for immediate negotiations beforehand. Because if negotiations do not take place soon, the complete collapse of the Ukrainian army and the country may happen in the meantime. And then, in the words of General Kimmitt:
>Looking into a future of protracted war, diminishing high-tech systems and mounting casualties, Mr. Zelensky and NATO must face up to tough decisions BEFORE THOSE DECISIONS ARE FORCED ON THEM.
What did he mean by that? It is likely that if Ukraine starts negotiations immediately, it may still be able to save Odessa, Mykolaiv and access to the sea. If not, he may lose even Novorossia, that is, not only the Russian minority or the pro-Russian part of the Ukrainian population, but the part of the country that represents 4/5 of Ukraine's GDP, the vast majority of Chernozem and most of the country's industrial capacity. Without fertile land in the south, without raw materials and without industry, how will the remaining 2/3 of the Ukrainian population survive with the simultaneous brutal burden of debts (do you think the Russians will pay Ukrainian debts?) and an aging population, it is hard for me to imagine.
I think, at least if I understand the Russian media correctly, that it is too late for that. That the train left at the beginning of April, when the Ukrainians, at the request of the West (remember Johnson's hastily organized visit to Kiev), which illusoryly expected a Russian defeat, rejected the already agreed proposal for a cease-fire, after which Russia would return to the borders 24 .February, and Ukraine would declare military neutrality. The Russians clearly did not want this war. Their first preference was the implementation of the Minsk agreements.
Wouldn't it be better for Ukraine to act as a mediator between Europe and Russia? To be friends with both and enemies with none? To live with the Russian people and all their minorities in peace? Wouldn't that be in the European spirit? To promote friendship and cooperation and not to fuel Ukrainian nationalism, intolerance and hatred of minorities, as all Ukrainian governments have done since the 2014 coup? (Victoria “Fuck the EU” Nuland, anyone?)
Michael Barnes
This war means russia's demise as a world power wannabe. Sorry about ukiebros having to bear the heaviest burden of us all for this great result for mankind
Matthew Edwards
>Saying that because the video was uploaded on the 8th, that means it was produced then
You don't think that in the West, when we defend the Zelensky regime, which banned opposition parties, abolished all minority rights, where there are extrajudicial killings and pogroms against dissenters, who is said to have quickly sold off a quarter of arable land to American multinationals, in We only defend democracy and human rights in Ukraine?
I am afraid that it is another political, military, geostrategic and economic failure of the West. After the disastrous interventions in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria... After the historical peak of the West in 1991, it is going down faster and faster... And it seems to me that even General Kimmitt is afraid of this.
NATO's military defeat in Ukraine is not yet the worst that can await the West. We'll see what happens with this winter in Europe.
Jace Cruz
Why are there so many troops from Kaliningrad being captured in Kharkiv?
So Kupiansk is where this Izyum business is all going to be decided now? Any news from there yet? Russia making a final stand there?
Bentley Green
REEEEEE IT WAS A MONTH AGOOO REEEE!!!!!! WE ARE WINNING REEEEE
Hudson Miller
AFU... Die Galizischen Kampfverbände vetrieben die bolschewistischen Kampfverbände aus dem Sektor Isium und erlangten ihre Kampfstandarte
Brandon Thomas
>Y-YOU NOT WHITE!! Yes we are slavs, white is jewish glownigger concept made to simplify D&C between europe >There is no "whites" >There are Slavs >There are Germans >There are Balts >There are Anglos
>TOMBOY NATIONALISM IS A GO >I REPEAT >TOMBOY NATIONALISM IS A GO
Those who actually believe in some moral cause of this expansionist war are probably the biggest cockroaches of them all. Ending the entire gene pool might be required.
Eli Davis
refute the above, churkas
Levi Green
>Just because you uploaded them today, doesn't mean they are new,
find other similiar videos if you cant this what we call coping. dont make me find your tranny discord.
Hudson Wood
They're amphibious
Grayson Torres
They will be treated humanely.
It's going to be really funny if Castrator of Vladivostok ends up getting captured.
