▶Latest >Fires across eastern Ukraine including Mariupol and the ZNPP >Putin signs a decree to increase the Russian armed forces by 137,000 to 1.15 million >Germany to send IRIS-T air defense systems in the coming weeks >US to send $3 billion in aid to Ukraine (largest one yet) >Azov denies Vovk Natalya's ever served in the Azov regiment >FSB: Darya Dugina's car was blown up by Vovk Natalya, an Azov servicewoman, who fled to Estonia afterwards >Antonovsky bridge was hit again, casualties reported by TASS >Darya Dugina's car exploded in Moscow >Explosions around Belgorod and Sevastopol reported, AA activity around the Kerch bridge >3 drone strikes in Crimea: Dhzankoy air base and Azovske ammunition depot and a transformer. >Smooker strikes a Russian airbase near Sevastapol, Crimea (9-14 aircraft destroyed) >Biden admin to announce a $1 billion weapons package for Ukraine >Ukraine strikes the Antonovsky railway bridge in Kherson once again >Zelensky gives a greenlight in replacing Catherine the Great's statue with Billy Herrington, decision is now up to Odessa's city council >Ukrainian government to start mandatory evacuation of civilians from Donetsk Oblast >Ukraine claims Russia shelled a correctional facility in Olenivka killing 40+ UA PoWs
Twitter thread with Russian 1st Tank Army losses nitter.net/RALee85/status/1526164608238624769 >KIA 1:4 WIA\MIA Russian ratio >Ukraine confirmed lost 9K KIA >Defender 1:3 Attacker losses rule >Russia lost 9K*3 = ~27K KIA >27K * 4 = 108K >27k KIA + 108K WIA\MIA = 135k >Putin allegedly signed order to increase standing army by 137k starting January 2023. Coincidence? I think not.
>Reminder, Murz is a pro-russian millblogger and LNR commander who fought for the separatists since 2015
>THIS IS IT, THE MOTHER OF ALL DOOMPOSTS. edition
Six months of "SWO. As has already been said, the Russian leadership prefers to turn a blind eye to problems in the course of SWO, hoping that this will make the problems disappear. Russia's leadership moves into another reality (and the Republics follow). The problems do not disappear, and then we hear the amazing explanation of the low pace of attack - "we are attacking so slowly on purpose, so that fewer civilians are killed.
But the reality is that in the spring the Russian Federation killed all the forces with which it would have been possible to conduct large encirclement operations. If there are no encirclement operations there will be no decisive break in the fighting. I've already written about this. The enemy will slowly retreat in the places where it will be heavily pressed by the artillery, but at the same time it will retreat to the prepared positions, taken by the redeployed reserves. "Grinding" in such a way to the Ukranians their cheap infantry without having enough of their own normal infantry can be very long and without much success.
As already mentioned, instead of normal replenishment of the already fighting troops, a program of forming new units from scratch has been launched. We will see the slaughter of this wave of "volunteers", including another three-month-old "BARS", against Ukrainian fortifications in the fall. If there is no mobilization, there will be no full replenishment of the troops. Under the conditions of general shortage of personnel and military units, are you forming new units? They will initially be out of control, rolled in dense columns to the front line and will be clogged by the enemy's artillery and MLRS.
Well, the remnants of the experienced infantry cadres are now making another attempt to storm Ukrainian positions around Donetsk in completely savage conditions.
As one DNR NM officer said, by the beginning of Mariupol, most of the platoons and company officers we had until February 24, 2022 had died. There were more or less experienced sergeants in their place in Mariupol, Mariupol was carried by them, and they died or dropped out due to serious wounds there as well. Now most of the platoon and company officers in the republics are just the most experienced enlisted men or, if they are lucky, sergeants without any officer training.
I read here from Natalya Kurchatova, a military correspondent, who is not inclined to waver along with the party line:
There are, shall we say, serious doubts about the advisability of mobilization. It is unlikely that poorly trained reserves can radically improve the situation at the front, but a river of funerals can overflow the cup of patience of Russian society, already, let's be honest, not too inclined to sacrifice private interests for the sake of victory.
This means that even many of those who say what they think and have something to think do not understand what is going on. We are already fighting with poorly trained or untrained people like the Donetsk and Luhansk "mobilized" and all kinds of "volunteers" who are not properly trained to work with heavy weapons. We are already fighting the sick, the elderly, the convalescing wounded, and anyone else we can catch on the street. And the earlier mobilization in the Russian Federation is announced, the more time there will be to prepare these mobilized men for combat.
pallets and containers are subversive western nazi jew tools to turn men into trannies
Jose Davis
cont.
Recently, receiving a pair of binoculars from me for his charges from one of the line battalions, one veteran of the Luhansk militia and the Ghost in particular said: "We wish we had more textbooks... It's a rare case when a person understands that you can't do anything with untrained people. Especially untrained officers.
Mobilization could, on the contrary, reduce the "flow of funerals," even if at the cost of the fact that some of them will go to Russian families, not those in Donetsk or Lugansk. But mobilization in the Russian Federation means responsibility for the fates of the mobilized. And our collective Russian Zap Branigan does not want this responsibility.
However... I'm fucking tired of arguing. I've been arguing for seven years, kicking and screaming, explaining that we shouldn't be hovering in the clouds, we should be preparing for a serious fight. Get ready for a serious fight. Nobody cared. Now I just do not have time for these arguments. You'll see for yourselves.
Another round of "volunteers" is slaughtered, made up of totally unsuitable troops, who will scatter after the first rounds of fighting much faster than the first drafts. Then an awkward pause to think of an explanation for why we were even slower to advance. Then humiliating attempts at negotiation. Then mobilization in the Russian Federation, even more monstrous than the current "volunteer recruitment" because the same people will be doing the same things. And yes, races to Ukrainian machine guns by unprepared mobilized men on the first anniversary of the start of the SMO. Again with no communications, no SIBZs, no normal training, no normal control...
If there is no mobilization in the Russian Federation, the front will not just stop, but will begin to slowly roll back in some places. To the sound of Kalibrs whizzing over the heads of the Ukranians somewhere to their rear.
This is a war for the destruction of Russia, no one will make any compromise peace, unless the very fact of its conclusion will be included in the mechanism of a coup d'etat in Russia. And this war with the best chances to win our leadership has all chances to fuck it up.
As for me personally and our movement in general, no one from the CPPN or OPSB is going to give up, retreat, or change their declared goals. The goal is the same - the complete military defeat of Ukrainian Nazism. The fact that we will have to do a lot of work to achieve this has been clear all these years, nothing new has been added to this understanding by the events of 2022. At least for me.
It was very symbolic that exactly on the semi-annual start date of "SVO" in telegram-channel KCPN posted pictures of the long-awaited purchase, which I asked for some time ago. At last, two kits of CPPO to bring small arms to the right fight arrived at Akela's.
How exactly to work with this kit and what other useful things there are to teach simple shooters the simplest things, I wrote last year. We already have such a kit at Ghost, it hasn't gone anywhere in a year, so "going to Ghost" is an intermediate address, not an end address. Two new CPPOs will be issued by me to the commanders of two reserve battalions, one in the LNR and one in the DNR. To places where people are really interested in combat training, where there are personnel and conditions for this.
russia has no strong nco roll, no hard ass sergeants to do the boring shit like make sure the peons are storing ammo properly or wearing the right footwear or stopping people from pilfering toilets
Robert Hill
cont.
Then there will be more CPAP kits. There will be textbooks, including our favorite "samizdat". There will be training for UAV operators, and there will be the gradual digitalization of communications in the units where that does not exist. There will be the solution of many tasks, abandoned, neglected by our state, such as the production of homemade transition devices for installation in armored vehicles and the integration of modern digital base radios with the TPU. There's going to be a lot of work to do.
As for the texts, I will try to finish in the foreseeable future the text about communications, about why it does not exist, and hopefully I will have time to write a text about drones, which do not exist. But all in all, there is nothing to argue about, nothing to prove. There are people who understand how fucked up we are, and people who have moved into another reality, as well as their information servants.
>almost all of the experienced men of the separatist regions who served before February 22 are dead or heavily wounded >most of the experienced men, officers included, have died in Spring, big portion being in Mariupol >the ones that remained are still being used as cannon fodder, still being slaughtered >new recruits are untrained and unprepared >even officers have basically zero military experience >new recruits are "volunteers" that are physically unprepared for war, they are either old, sick or crippled >new recruits are extremely unmotivated >MOOOOBILIZATION wont help >Ukrainians will eventually start pushing the russians back >no more men left to make encirclements
isnt it the case that russia invaded with basically their entire professional (non-conscript / non-reserve) manpower?
And based on that and also the US / UK intelligence estimates its pretty clear that Russia has taken at least 20-25K KIA and 60-80K wounded?
In other words, like, the entirety of the trained, good manpower has been totally fuckin ground up. Imagine how many officers they have lost as well, and all the random generals who got blown up too.
Russia is fuckin grinding down like the entirety of their effective manpower. They are going to need like 5 years of a huge rebuild program minimum to make up for this. They are getting hollowed out hardcore its only getting worse lol
Holy fuck Putin what the fuck did you do you idiot lmfao
worse: there were a ton of conscripts among invading forces >good manpower has been totally fuckin ground up. Read above what LNR rebel commander Murza says: he agrees. >Holy fuck Putin what the fuck did you do you idiot lmfao Ate his own bullshit.
>get your land back in one bloody counterattack and keep being under treat >or >slowly grind another army into oblivion than make an easy walk and knew your borders are secure from now on since other side does not have an army anymore Well, what would you think will be an optimal choice?
Russia is speedrunning the Wehrmacht experience of getting your combat-capable good manpower and officers ground down and being eventually unable to conduct offensives
They just didn't do the part where they got big victories before that happened lol
You cant fill this gigantic gap with conscripts and expect them to go well. Seriously like are they going to have to fill infantry battalions with former technical specialists at this point? are we going to have conscript Mongoloid Peniskov manning the s-400 batteries? Brand new barely trained officers leading offensives with no manpower to spare? the entire ship is taking on water lol it's all going to start falling apart.
