I am gonna predict with 98% accuracy how the war in Ukraine will end give or take and lasting consequences of it.
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>There will be stalemate, without much gains by either side >There will be one last Push late Fall/early Winter. >Ukraine counter offensive is a total meme, won't have any success (if happens at all) >US will keep pouring weapons but only enough to support status quo >In the winter there will be huge economic turmoil in Europe and globally >Ukraine will essentially be sending men to the meat grinder, essentially they have all the men they need, but don't have enough weapons against superior artillery and weapon saturation >Russia is the opposite - all the equipement, with not enough willing men to fight. >The war will render Russian military completely dysfunctional >Putin is too pussy to mobilize anyone, he will instead keep doing hidden recruitment from dredges of Russian society - non-russians from poor regions, village idiots, literal degenerates and criminals, who can get in 1 month (if they survive) same amount of money as they would get in 1 year working in their shithole regions >Whole idea is to hurt Russian military potential as much as possible at the espense of Ukranian men. >Meat grinder is set such as - Hohols are the meat for the grinder, to dull the blades of Russian war machine. >Sanctions won't be as destructive as west claims they will be, but not as laughable as some Putin fanboys claim >In a year or two (this winter at earliest) everyone will be completely tired from global economic turmoil this war is causing, both west and Russia. >I predict first moves to resolve this conflict will start after US midterms, when current neo-cons and libs will be pushed out from a majority. >This might be enough, or might drag out until US President Elections.
>West will push Hohols and Russia to compromise >The war will end with minor Russian victory or Pyrrhic victory. >Russia will give back everything but the Crimea, there might be LPR and DNR still existing, but I am certain they will just return to Ukraine as special autonomous regions >West will lift most sanction on economic sector, but anything against military and state owned companies will stay >Hohols will seethe and cope (just as much as Z-vatniks), both of the degen groups will see this as a total failure of their side of the conflict (zrada) >Crimea will be recognized as part of Russia >Russia will be forced to pay for Crimea from frozen Oligarch and Central Bank assets. They will take it all for Crimea and reparations >Those 400bln+ frozen assets mostly will disappear through jewish schemes and end up in US and EU pockets, hohols will be lucky to see even 30% of that. >Soon after there will begin slow recovery, Russia will be set back 5-10 years compared to timeline if it didn't make this insane gamble with Ukraine invasion. >Ukraine will be completely fucked, economically and socially. >Ukraine will be one of the most toxic examples of butthurt belt, I expect complete ban of Russian language, even for Ukranians who speak it natively. >Speak Hohol or go to Russia - pretty much will be their policy >They will be forever indebted to Globohomo from all the gibs they got during war, since those were not true gibs, but credits from US and EU
The only thing I can't decide is what will be with Russian-US and Russian-China relationships. Russia could go completely Pro-Chink, or full 100% Pro-US and cold towards China and maybe even EU. Depends how US congress and senate election go, and who will win Presidency in 2024.
I think 5Head play by CIA glowniggers might be exchanging US support (economic and political) for alliance with Russia against China in 21st and 22nd centiries. It's obvious, that China will be main threat to US hegemony, and if non-retards will get in power in US, they will try to capitalize on weak Russia to actually get it as ally, so China is cut out completely from energy market and rare earth.
If somehow retards will get into decision making, they might fuck it up over emotions, probably because they are either women or trannies on hormones.
If that's the case, then China will do everything to secure Russia as it's biggest ally - it will shower Russia in money and political influence, so it can have energy security from Russian oil and gas, so US can't use their golemn allies in Middle East to blackmail China with energy.
I personally, somehow think US won't repeat the mistakes after Cold War. After Cold War, instead of going all in with support of Russia, US kinda gave up thinking everything is fine and no willing to spend resources on building up Russia economically as an ally like it did with Western Europe after World War 2. In big picture of things, Ukraine is irrelavant in US confrontation with China. I just don't see them trading opportunity to exploit Russia in it's weakened state to undermine China. You will see Ukraine suddenly being memory holed, and normies not understanding what's going on when that happens. It will literally be:
>US president: I am glad to announce new age of security of cooperation with Russia against bad and evil Russia >Normies: But muh Ukraine. Fuck RuZZia. They are Orcs, you can't do that to poor Hohols after Butcha. >US goverment: W H OMEGALUL ?
But then again, if the policy will be decided by actual cold logic and strategy (i.e. competent men), and not based on some emotions fueled by populism with masses (i.e. if US government will be mostly women and trannies on HRT).
Oh yeah, and Putin is completely done for. No matter the outcome. EU and US won't be dealing with him at all, he will be forced out (or die in his sleep) by the elites. People who will come into power will be from current establishment, but will hugely depend on which deal they can get with US and China.
If US offers good deal, I can see liberal wing taking over, like Mishustin, Sobyanin, Nabiulina, etc. If US deal is shit and it's obvious Russia will turn towards China, more hawkish and authoritarian wing will take over with Patrushev at the helm.
>>Ukraine will essentially be sending men to the meat grinder, essentially they have all the men they need, but don't have enough weapons what the fuck wheres all the wunderwaffles we sent
Don't get me wrong, precision and high quality artillery advantage is on western side, but the number of units and munitions Ukraine gets is barely enough for defense. For offense - they are fucked. Plus dumb artillery for defense, especially when it's overwhelming like Russia has is huge.
Ukraine simply doesn't have offensive capabilities, and West, despite all the help, will never send them any. For offensive, you need ton of jets, helis, MBT and armor. US is interested to dull blades of Russian war machine, it doesn't really have goal of utterly defeating Russia, which would make Russia and Putin unpredictable.
Jace Brown
Yeah I can see it going like that. I think we're loansharking Ukraine, we're going to make them pay everything back with interest.
Sebastian Nguyen
That's the secondary objective/benefit, main one - to make Russian military completely toothless via Ukraine. Hohol needs not apply.
They are just meat for the grinder and to man whatever equipment US drip-feeds Ukraine.
> US is interested to dull blades of Russian war machine, it doesn't really have goal of utterly defeating Russia, which would make Russia and Putin unpredictable. This. It would not be hard to kick Russia out of Ukraine for NATO but the only safe enough way of doing it would be through internal forces, i.e when the war weariness and worsening economic conditions in Russia would shift the balance against hardliners. However as China would have quite a lot to lose if Russia gets it's "colour revolution" I just can't see it happening. China of course couldn't be more happy about the prolonged war and would take maximum advantage from Russia's international isolation but if Russia starts to become too unstable I think they'd try to interfere just enough as to support the regime.
Gavin Rodriguez
That's why I think CIA niggers will just memory hole whole conflict, they understand, that Chinks (and Indians in some way) are more of a threat to them than Russia. They will literally push some new (((current thing))) while making deals with Russia. But unlike after the end of cold war, I expect them to be more involved this time economically and politically.
It will be like >Ukraine >CIA/US: WHO? Never heard of it. Russia is our biggest ally, after Israel ofcourse
That is, if realists and pragmatists will be at the helm. If you get US government like it is now - ran by women, trannies and populists, then yeah, they might just do the biggest strategic blunder in history. This US leaning scenario will benefit Russian people, as in in personal freedoms, economically and socially. But the drawbacks will be globohomo agenda slowly cripping in. But then again, it might be such as adding Russia to the ally list might actually force pendulum to swing back a little, and whole tranny/BLM/globohomo shit will be forced less in the west as well. Facing towards China might be bad for world Globohomo, but it will also be bad for Russian people. Less personal freedoms, worse off economically, etc. Plus there is a real chance, that Chinks will start settling Russian Siberia and just outbreading Russians there.
So the outcome is based on how you view either scenario - are you ok with a bit Globohomo, but better freedoms and economy, or are you ok with hurting your own freedom and living standards just to stick it up to Globohomo. It's tough.
few thousand rocket launchers, like 100 artillery pieces and 20 himars
they help but they aren't going to really be course altering (aside from maybe HIMARS)
Asher Baker
Interesting take. You focus a lot on China-Russia-US, which makes sense since they are the power brokers, but at the same time we have seen many times in the last 20 years how even small countries faling into chaos dominates the political agenda for years. If large EU nations like Germany, Italy or France become unstable enough to see large scale violence, how do you think that influences your calculus?
I was talking about burger support but yeah, i forgot about all the tanks central euros sent them
Either way, they end result would not be drastically different without that aid imo, Ukies are holding on mainly because they are pretty well trained and motivated
Nicholas Stewart
US won't let that happen. US/EU will sooner end the war on compromise between Russian and Ukraine (despite hohol kvetching) if they even feel real chance of unrest in main ally circle - Germany, US, France, UK, Italy, Spain, Netherlands.
Butthurt belt needs not apply, they are just convenient loudspeakers to draw attention away for normies, behind the scene those countries opinions don't matter, it's old Europe and US who call all the shots.
It all depends, which elites will be at the power among true decision makers - populists or pragmatists, I don't even divide them left/right wing. I am talking about people who reset relations with China to fuck over USSR during Cold War.
There is already new Cold War going on, but right now it's between US and China. Russia is just a chaotic actor and a wildcard in it. If US will be governed by competent people when peace will be establishing, I can guarantee, they will do everything to turn Russia into ally so that China position (and India to some degree) on the world stage is weakened.
>Russia will give back everything but the Crimea that's where you're wrong. Are you the same fag who claimed putin will do nothing when there was military build up at the border?
Kayden Mitchell
Show flag, homo. You got so triggered, that you literally didn't even finish reading, to sperg out over this minor point.
Your crystal ball is broken, gypsy I dont need read any further. There's no way DPR and LPR will go back to ukraine even if cuck putin wants them to. Too many of them died for this there's no way back now.
Xavier Sullivan
Retard, do you think anyone will be asking what DPR/LPR thinks? They have no input on any of that, same with Ukraine and Butthurt belt of Europe. If Russia, US and EU will make a deal, the rest will be forced to follow it. Ukraine and DPR/LPR can seethe and cope however they want, but they won't do shit.
I expect French and/or Turkish peace keepers in Ukraine at least for 5-10 years after all is done.
Putin recognised their independence you fucking retard. Going back on it would be the same as sucking Bidens and Zelenskys cocks live on TV politically speaking and it would be the end of him
Carson Phillips
you hohol dick hopping motherfucker
Samuel Ward
lol I like how every Russian cope automatically is >hehe you see with cold logic and strategy everyone would ally with Russia
