Is he right?

>demographics are going to collapse in most countries
>China will devolve into an Africa tier region
>USA+Mexico, France, Turkey, Argentina which have younger populations and decent strategic location will weather the storm well
>piracy and state sponsored privateering will return as the USA draws back protection of waterways
>globalization of cheap goods will end, only the most valuable products will be imported anymore

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If you read Zeihans works from early 2010s you can see he is wrong on many accounts.
>a nation is strong in 2010
>therefore it must be a leading power in 2020
Take Turkey for example who he was the rising start in early 2010s as it had jumped from 2-3k$ gdp per capita to 12k$ in a decade, people were projecting it would jump to 24k$ by 2020, 20k$ at the least. But now it is struggling to keep it around 7k$.
But he still harbors that turkey will rise in 2022 despite the downturn of Turkey one can say he is consistent at least

He is absolutely correct on demographic time bombs. I cannot believe how people ignore this elephant in the room, but many nations, Turkey included will be in for a very very very rude awakening by 2030-2040.

>turkey will rise in 2022

If there's no bad case of political instability it will. The downturn is global after all, nobody can escape it. However, energy prices are now final catalyst for a lot of industry to relocate away from Germany ... and much of it will go to Turkey. First companies have already started this process.

I think with this kind of stuff you can’t be 100% accurate all the time. In terms of location you guys are very well placed. You economic woes can likely be more attributed to leadership than anything.

I’m glad he calls out the overpopulation meme. I don’t know why so many people fall for it. I particularly like how he shows that the USA with a tripled population would still have less density than Germany in 1900:

Zeihan ignores race and IQ, so no

>USA+Mexico
Why are you pushing this rabbis book

He’s not right, it sounds too good to be true. It can’t be true.

all fields for shilling/advertising this fag EVERY. SINGLE. DAY.

fuck you glowniggers, go pay him more money and FUCK OFF

He says Africa will never fully industrialize without help from the rest of the world, while practically everyone else did it themselves.

Yeah I agree, Patrick Boyle has good videos about Turkey imho, stating problems are mostly political and man based not fundamentals based.
But the problem with such people is you only get to remember what they predict accurately not what they predict wrong. One of our famous analysist stated usd to try would be 15 or even 20 within few years (it was less than 3 when he said this in 2016) today it is lingering at 17
yet he also predicted massive wars conflicts and civil wars in the region yet no one calls him out on that

>overpopulation meme.
More than overpopulation I think the problem is median age, Germany will be majority germany in 2050 too, but most germans will be old and pension leeching most "working age" population will be immigrant born. I wonder how many mohammads and mehmets would be willing to toil (if they work at all) to feed bitter millenials and gen xers who don't like them one bit.
Same problem here too, I doubt Kurds and Arabs will be happy to toil to pay the pensions of bunch of old roaches.
very very interesting times are ahead of us however, people really underestimate how big the demographic changes will be within few decades.

Sure, but the US, France, etc., won't "weather the storm well" simply because of demographics.

No pure copium

Yeah no kidding the US demographic situation is actually a massive advantage for China

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>I wonder how many mohammads and mehmets would be willing to toil (if they work at all) to feed bitter millenials and gen xers who don't like them one bit.

Heh, this. And if the situation worsens and either industry (providing labor) or state (providing gibs) fail most will likely consider simply moving back, especially if industry is moving with them at the same time (will be less comfortable for the welfare leeches ofc).

>He is absolutely correct on demographic time bombs
He misses the demographic aspect of race though.

He promises the US have a glorious future ahead of them, but racial tension with Blacks and Hispanics aren't going to get any better. You also see Indians becoming more and more prominent, replacing much of the white middle class and taking a strong foothold in the IT sector. China on the other hand has a largely homogeneous, high IQ population that is completely dominated by a Han hegemony.
If you ask me, the latter are in a better state - even if they're going to run into demographic trouble. Whatever that trouble is, people that are smart are going to be able to solve it - in particular when they are also socialist minded and eager to preserve social cohesion. In the US on the other hand, you're going to see things go in third world direction, where a tiny minority of upper class people will still live great lives, while more and more of the white middle class falls to the bottom, where people eat each other.

Sure, but the high “iq” Chinese stopped having babies. They’re going to collapse in the next 30 years as they import all the food energy and materials they need, and won’t be able to support the older populations.

Yes, he is absolutely correct. My professors (ivy league) would recommend us to read Zeihan on a regular basis.
He is a geopolitical genius and his IQ is estimated to be around 170+
Zeihan is Nostradamus reincarnated.
All of his predictions are substantiated and based on FACTS only.
Check out his latest book "The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization". It is out now on Amazon.
Dude is a genius.

No, he's wrong to think that that tie works with that ensemble

>They’re going to collapse in the next 30 years
Honest question, do you not get tried of repeating this garbage?

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>Mexico
>weathering the storm
They are on the verge of becoming a failed state. Mexico has successful cities but most of it is lawless.

dude is a retard regarding demographics, he pretend chinese demographics are bad but american demographics are good. white tfr in usa is like 1.

>My professors (ivy league
Your ivy league professors think women can have penises.

yep and thus can't really be taken seriously if he is such a dumb faggot to kneel because someone calls him racist.

hahahaha this, zeihan the faggot retard thinks a non-white largely hispanic america is going to chug along just fine. dumb fuck and his ilk think if they deny reality that it won't hit them in the face.

Every major population center in the US is being looted and burned and the country is still (barely) majority white. I can't even imagine how bad it will get in the next 20 years

Can confirm. I met Peter Zeihan on a train once and he told me the same thing.

South Africa on steroids. Get to a white enclave by 2030 or die fighting off a trillion Haitians.

> Every major population center in the US is being looted and burned and the country is still (barely) majority white.
its not, proof?

>>China will devolve into an Africa tier region

nah...its just globo homo

nice try schlomo my based collapse enjoyer

> white enclave
whites did this to themselves, a white enclave is either a trailer park/meth den or some purple state metro like boise where you have fag flags everywhere

he ignores IQ differences between races so most of his of long term predictions will fall flat

China going full NS soon and taking the Lebensborn pill.

>dude is a retard regarding demographics
Fwiw, he's at least more honest than any academic that claims "Education" is the reason why people have less kids. At least Peter "Zion" spells it out as it really is: Industrialization forced people into the cities, where kids become a luxury. Only the lowest classes don't give a shit about raising their kids in small flats, while everyone else struggles to afford the space to raise them properly.
Still, he's a MIC shill, who used to beam when he talked about American control over the oceans, except reality now made him change even that tune.

apres moi le deluge early millenials will be okay but if you are in your early 30s or below you are fucked indeed
I been to USA and I think they have a way of assimilating people it is a mutt country. Even on Any Forums plenty of white nationalists are of hispanic origin, ironic but it is true.
Unlike say in Germany where no amount of assimilation, hard work can make a turk accepted, a turk is a turk end of story. This creates some tension there.
There is absolutely racial tensions in united states there is no doubt about it but I highly doubt blacks or hispanics will be as much as a 5th column as nafris in paris or turks in berlin.

usa will be fine it has resources wealth and a history of assimilation.
europe will be fine too imho the declining europe is still way better than most countries on earth. I agree they won't be competing with China or USA anytime soon bu so what, I think you guys will still enjoy a high quality of life.
People who get fucked will be mena-africa-south asia due to draughts over population water shortages and so forth.
>where a tiny minority of upper class people will still live great lives, while more and more of the white middle class falls to the bottom, where people eat each other.
this is happening everywhere but it is still not in 3rd world standards
believe me 1sties would riot if their livelihood detoriated into 10 times better than average turk from 15 times better than average turk. Unlike 3rdistanis who learn to keep their mouth shut and bend over backwards 1st worlders are quite vocal and willing to fight.

bro, academics like him are faggot shit heads with no balls or courage. he even looks like a cuckold.

He says that because of immigration
USA can demand PhD holders who speak esperanto today and you will have millions of 3rdies getting phds and learning esperanto
USA can demand people with 130 iq and 6'1 in height and they can find them

never underestimate the lure of immigration 3rdies would die and kill for the chance to live in 1st world.

> Fwiw, he's at least more honest than any academic that claims "Education" is the reason why people have less kids
oh yeah what does he say is the cause?

> Only the lowest classes don't give a shit about raising their kids in small flats, while everyone else struggles to afford the space to raise them properly.
Uhm, it sounds like Zeihan was being a PC retard here also. You don't think porn, sexual promiscuity, careerism among women, govts allowing foreign investors to bid up real estate, promoting homosexuality and lgbt, didn't have something to do with it? so essentially hyper-individualism

> Peter "Zion"
are you insinuating he is a jew?

>USA can demand
US can't demand shit hundreds of thousands of illiterate 80 IQ beaners cross the border everyday

>early millenials will be okay

Good for me then!

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>>piracy and state sponsored privateering will return as the USA draws back protection of waterways
WE ONE PIECE NOW

you're fucking retarded at this point you're saying everything and it's contrary

yes. once the cheap oil runs out, it's gg. legit everything we have done over the past century is due to having cheap oil.

because they let them in dummy, the democrats want the borders that way, even the republican mega-donors too. white people don't like paying other whites a fair wage for work. don't you know your own history? why does america have a nigger problem today? because 300 years ago wealthy white didn't want to pay other whites to work their fields for an acceptable wage.

He can hardly come out and say that niggers are unfit for civilization, can he?

you have no idea how strict your immigration is I agree with Did you know USA kicks international phd students? people who get engineering degrees etc out? Because USA doesn't need more engineers or physicists it already gets the best and brightest there is no need for some average change or pajeet
there is a need for a massive underclass to clean shits, walk dogs and serve coffee thats why certain immigration is tolerated while certain kind are not
If you are able talk to an international student or temporary j visa worker in a high skilled environment ask them how strict the immigration is.
such as? ignore this post if you don't want to elaborate but I am curious
we are saved

well then if you are going to be that much of a fucking pussy, keep your mouth shut and stop going on about future predictions for fuck sake.

>Zeihan was being a PC retard here also
Is that even up for debate still? He is a polished academic, so of course he's PC. He even praised the vax, while simultaneously pointing out that the Chinese version is useless and will likely cause them to be stuck with their zero-covid policy for a while, especially since they're smart enough to disallow the sterilizing jewjuice. If we focus on the positives, he is honest about the stuff he can speak freely about, so there's that.
>are you insinuating he is a jew?
It's how Sam Harris (who had him on recently) pronounced his name. At least it's safe to say Zeihan avoids any signs of being redpilled on the matter.

>you have no idea how strict your immigration
Maybe in paper. Trust me all you have to do to stay is show up not be white