The inferior bugmen species is finally dying out at a rapid pace.
"Over the last five years, the number of births in China has been rapidly declining, from a high of 18.83 million in 2016 to 17.65 million in 2017, 15.23 million in 2018, 14.65 million in 2019, 12 million in 2020, and 10.62 million in 2021, with an average annual reduction of 1.64 million.
The total fertility rate (number of births per woman) dropped from 1.77 in 2016 to 1.15 last year, making China one of the countries with the lowest fertility rate. While the results are alarming to many, they are not so surprising to demographers." - Chen Wei, professor at the Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China.
"Even more worrisome is that their working-age population is set to decline by 1.73% ANNUALLY. This will have a disastrous impact on their economic growth, as the number of pensioners (the +65 age segment) will eclipse the number of workers. This means that while there are currently 100 working-age people available to support every 20 elderly people, by 2100, 100 working-age Chinese will have to support as many as 120 elderly Chinese. "
"The annual average decline of 1.73% in China’s working-age population sets the scene for much lower economic growth, unless productivity advances rapidly.
Higher labour costs, driven by the rapidly shrinking labour force, are set to push low-margin, labour-intensive manufacturing out of China to labour-abundant countries such as Vietnam, Bangladesh and India.
Already manufacturing labour costs in China are twice as high as in Vietnam.
More caring, less manufacturing At the same time, China will be required to direct more of its productive resources to provision of health, medical and aged-care services to meet the demands of an increasingly elderly population.
Modelling by the Centre of Policy Studies at Victoria University suggests that without changes to China’s pension system, its pension payments will grow five-fold from 4% of GDP in 2020 to 20% of GDP in 2100.
For resource-exporting nations such as Australia, these changes are likely to require a reorientation of exports towards manufacturers outside China.
Read more: China's demand for coal is set to drop fast. Australia should take note
For importers of goods including the United States, the source of goods is set to gradually shift towards new and emerging centres of manufacturing.
Despite forecasts that this will be “the Chinese century”, these population projections suggest influence might move elsewhere – including to neighbouring India, whose population is expected to overtake China within this coming decade."
James Taylor
This is good since CCP is working on moving into a developed service based economy
Gabriel Martin
Just make people have sex Give them tex exemptions/higher wages or whatever if they have 3+ children
Robert Kelly
Let's keep this thread kike-free. Keep your nose out of the noble Aryans business.
Why do we think countries can never recover from population decline? Once it crashes wouldn't average wages, available space etc all improve? It is interesting to see they've gone as low as 10 million births considering the US had 3.6 million, at 1/4 the population.
Jose Bennett
It's an effect that will only be exacerbated by time, making it very difficult to reverse once things have got as bad as they are in China currently, where the fertility rate stands at a mere 1.15
"At the same time, the aging of the population is gaining pace. China had 14.2 percent of the population over 60 years old in 2021 compared to 13.5 percent in 2020. The aging population results in more deaths, further lowering population growth.
Andrew Carter
This is a phenomenon that occurs in all tiger economies. Get real
Jayden Garcia
If you want to use the US for reference. US pop: 330m China pop: 1.4b 14/3.3=4.24242424242
US births: 3.6m China births:10m 10/3.6=2.77777777778
If China had the same birth rate as the US (which is still below replacement level) they would have 4.24*3.6=15.26m births annually or 50% more. Ching Chongs are fucked, kek
Well, yeah, the hell do you think they released that virus for? Deal with their demographic collapse.
Josiah King
Get a load of this retard thinking he knows things. Demographers have gotten everything wrong since demography became a “profession”. China’s population will decrease to its natural equilibrium point when births and deaths net out to stagnant growth. From there on they can have a baby boom. Europe is demographic transition ie brown and black peoples becoming the majority.
Ayden Bennett
Yes that 10 million number is pretty disastrous - particularly if it's still skewed towards more boys than girls. Are they still aborting girls en masse?
Charles White
a quarter of china’s population could die today and there would still be a billion of them.
Henry Robinson
Chinkcel spotted.
So you claim more knowledge on this issue than Chen Wei, professor at the Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China.
Your decline will be glorious. It's a huge win for the world that China has a fertility rate of 1.15 kek.
Jayden Hughes
Absolutely.
"In addition, China has fewer women of child-bearing age than might be expected. Limited to having only one child since 1980, many couples opted for a boy, lifting the sex at birth ratio from 106 boys for every 100 girls (the ratio in most of the rest of the world) to 120, and in some provinces to 130."
Joshua Edwards
Who cares. This is only "bad" if you have a capitalist economy based on infinite growth. Population drops so all investors pull their money out = economy dies. China obviously operates on growth and investments as well, but the government can seize billionaires' assets without question and keep investments captive until the demographic situation stabilizes. If they have to let all the old people starve to death, they will, old people aren't gonna take up arms. Also this user is right as well, their median salaries have grown to the point that the "made in china" meme is dying. Have a close look at the cheap shit at the store next time, you're gonna see more "made in thailand/bangladesh/etc" than before.
Yes because demographers are full of SHIT. I’m not a chink. All western (provided zero migration) and eastern Asian countries are going to decline until the old people die out and the births and deaths net out to zero. From there on they can have another baby boom. The challenge is how to transition the economy and Asian countries are investing in automation and robotic.
Nicholas Hernandez
There are more young danish boys than young danish girls.
Benjamin Butler
You don't understand demographics. People are living longer. Their population is aging at a rapid speed. Since old people are unable to have children this will further exacerbate their demographic decline. Picrel is working-age Chinks compared with +65 chinks. As you can see, the number of pensioners in Chinkland will eclipse the number of workers. It's over
China won't have a baby boom, because Chinese women are not interested in having children, since Chinese men are ugly, fat and short, kek.
"Detrimental to the low fertility question is the relatively low fertility desire in China. Low fertility countries typically show a not very low fertility desire, and the desired number of children is around 2.1 to 2.5. For example, the number is 2.42 in France and Sweden, 2.37 in the UK, 3.59 in the United States, and 2.5 in Japan. But in China, according to various data sources, the number is around 1.85, the lowest in the world."
-Chen Wei, professor at the Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China
No demography is just bullshit degree mill tier science. The decline can last for 200 years, it doesn’t matter. Eventually they’ll reach an equilibrium point, that’s from economics! When that equilibrium point is reached they can have a baby boom if the physiological conditions are met. The meme that Japan, South Korea, China will go extinct is the most ridiculous globohomo meme spread shittuber know it all ecelebs.
David Barnes
>China's demographic collapse Lmfao is this the new "THE THREE GORGES DAM IS GOING TO COLLAPSE"?
It's not even that, projecting anything 100 into the future is retarded. Imagine someone in 1900 trying to predict populations in the year 2000, he would have never gotten it right because he could never have predicted future events.
Joseph Wilson
Actually, immigrant women from the MENA region have a lower fertility rate than White Danes for the first time. It was a big story on the news. We didn't talk about anything else for weeks, kek.
The green line in picrel is fertility rate for White Danes, and the red line is the fertility rate for immigrant women from the MENA region.
As you can see, the fertility rate for White Danes rose slightly above the one for immigrant women for the first time in 2021.
This doesn’t matter. Chinese women can have CRISPR children when it becomes cheap lol, the point is that China is not going extinct, neither is Japan. You’re trying to mix economics with a nation becoming extinct. Never going to happen. Extinction is only possible with forced extermination or genetic replacement like what’s happening to Denmark today.
Samuel Wilson
Realistically couldn't they open it to Asian American immigration (or Asian Australian/ European whatever)? Tons of young Asians in the west they could try to lure in without significantly changing their racial characteristics.
Evan Walker
Jews killed off most of their women and they aren’t even allowed to talk about it in fear of being gulaged, Kek.
No, they won't. Chink men are ugly, fat, and short. They yearn for a big, strong BWC to fulfill their deepest desires. You should come to Northern Europe and observe how horny your women are around 6'4 Blonde Chads, kek. They are getting stuffed from the moment they set foot.
