People here like to shitpost about race and crime statistics...

People here like to shitpost about race and crime statistics, but has anyone actually bothered to do multivariate statistical analysis of the topic to actually see how strong of a predictor race is actually for crime? It should be quite easy to just run some PCA on a dataset in R. I tried looking online for has anyone done it, but nobody has.

Also, if this thread doesn't get replies I'll use trap porn image next time to get more attention.

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Tripx confirm DMX was aware

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>do expensive timewasting analysis
>just bail and watch people complain about "white flight"
If you can put black flight in a sentence that doesn't sound retarded, and I'll send you a thousand dollars.

I've seen someone posting a study here showing that race is a better predictor of crime in an area than poverty. I didn't save the link because I'm not that invested in this debate but maybe someone has the source.

It starts with the shopping trolleys
It ends with Baltimore
>there are actually people who think Japan is tidy because they have bins everywhere, and not that Japs are tidy so they "put" bins everywhere

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If you account for all the variables, then I don't think white flight will be a meaningful problem for the conclusions.

You want the $1k?
Have a go or gtfo

>Maybe I should also debunk this myth that the black crime rate is a function of poverty, in case you think that justifies any of BLM’s false claims. The correlation in the data between income and violent crime isn’t nearly as strong as the correlation in blackness and violent crime. You can take a map of poverty rates
and overlay it with homicide rates, and it’s spotty and doesn’t quite fit. Overlay a map of black population rates with homicide rates, and it’s dead on. And this is fairly obvious when you consider that there are about twice as many whites living below the poverty line as blacks, yet blacks account for over half of all murders. Or look at a place like West Virginia, where it’s 95% white and the median income is the same
as the national black median income, yet they have less than a quarter of the murder rate. (Although even that figure is skewed by the fact that blacks, who are 3% of the population, commit 20 to 30% of the state’s murders.) When you correct for income, the problem of black violent crime persists.
took the above excerpt from an anti-BLM letter an user wrote to his boomer dad and posted here. (that letter is at docdro.id/6r2IUKj)

NIGGER

The problem with a bivariate analysis like that is that you can always point out to new variables like population densities and what have you. Does anyone know where could I find statistics for US counties?

Yeah, pure whites are less violent than rich blacks, simple as. But since you believe in magic dirt, I’m sure that won’t be convincing to you.

after slavery black people in america actually had a period of prosperity where you had black people starting businesses and becoming millionaires, even during slavery, some of the slave owners were black people, and whether or not you were black is not what decided if you were a slave, there were plenty of black people who were free men, and most of the slave owners were jews

one of, i think it was reagans, advisors wrote an auto biography where he admits they specifically started the war on drugs to fuck with the african american community, to create division and they essentially reinvented the slave trade, the 13th amendment specifically says slavery is forbidden, except for criminals. the millions of people in america who are in jail for bullshit weed charges are all working overtime creating equipment for the american military, they dont just make license plates anymore. the government has essentially become the bad guy, and anyone who cant see that is either brainwashed, or simply not very well informed. cops have become so infamous for lying and just making shit up in court, and what is considered criminal these days has lost all its meaning, to the point where any crime statistic that you can show me is going to be completely meaningless

at some point you have to just make the call that the evidence is overwhelming enough. maybe you can get county-level data, but if you're afraid of someone caviling about population density, then they're going to cavil about weather, inconsistent laws across counties, differences in harshness of judges in predominantly black jurisdictions, fewer grocery stores in black neighborhoods, etc., etc.
there are literally thousands of ridiculous variables someone could come up with. and if youre going to try to use this data to convince a leftist, you're wasting your time. there's already a mountain of data staring them in the face (seriously, read the letter i linked); if that won't convince them, one more statistical argument isn't going to do it.

MAOA 2 Repeat Allele.

youre totally delusional. unicor (the organization that uses inmate labor) loses money every year, and they don't make shit for the military. all the other stuff you said is delusional crap too.

"Anybody done pseudo new age bullshit statistics on it?" Yeah dumbass, that's why we're in this situation. It's like doing this at work. Why did you fuck up? Well here's a list of the possibilities and their likelihood, see how rough I have it? You'd be fired on the spot, if you were white. Niggers and other subhumans always have excuses. Something ALWAYS happens and they have no control over it. Oh how rough to be a fucking black nigger piece of shit scumbag ape.

% of population of blacks and Hispanics has an R of over 0.80.

When youbdo a large multivariate analysis you find the leading cause is actually single motherhood rates, welfare consumption, THEN RACE.

The issue is that single motherhood and welfare are highly associated with race in the USA.

This was an analysis I did a few years ago in grad schoolwhen I had access to a minitab subscription.

It’s a microcosm but most major cities have really robust data.
data.ny.gov/
data.cityofchicago.org/
I’ve run crime and other negative community datasets and it’s always the same outcome. But any data person will immediately debooonk your argument with correlation doesn’t imply causation.

Dumn fuck, look at where the single mothers and welfare recipients live. They are niggers of another race. It all revolves around niggers you fuckin idiot

>unicor.gov/Category.aspx?idCategory=1453

How is anything user said delusional? The war on drugs discriminates against Blacks. When whites get arrested for possession, the cops are more likely to go "haha you shouldnt do that" but when Blacks are arrested, the cops go hardline and push for maximum sentencing.

That's why isaid they are associated.

But when yo look at white welfare recipients raised by single mother's they have nearly as high a rate if violent crime.

(I only used violent crime rate)