Drob your probability of market crashing again today

EU markets open in 4 hours. Let's see how smart Any Forums actually is.

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desu not sure if stocks are going up or down short term, but when the fed starts doing QT in June here in the US that is legit scary and could cause some serious global market issues. That Treasury market basically supports global trade at this point. Scary shti.

Finally, a pair of jeans that fits just right!

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Growth stocks, FAANGS and tech sell off will cause the S&P500 to correct about 50% more in the next few months going towards Q3/Q4.
EU stocks will be fucked in the sell off due to high ppi inflation hitting Germany the same time as the (((energy crisis))). Maybe some good buying opportunities at the end of the year e.g. BASF etc if the economy survives.

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If jatet gabe me some quality time id happy

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I don't think so, EU markets are way more volatile than US markets.

Also, EU is the only region where stocks are growing, and the US is still the world's largest economy.

Grab some lube: you're all gonna get fucked in the ass worse than 2008.

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about as probable as me making this fupa pop

How will this market crash affect cold beers on a friday night?

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Markets will hold until early August. Economy can be held up for months by selling options to plebs but something big is happening in August. Probably Aug 2nd or 3rd.

Yeehaw frendos

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The US has the most stable economy, it's a well-oiled machine. It's just a matter of time until it breaks down, but that time is still far off.

>doesn’t understand macroeconomics
>doesn’t understand the difference between ‘growth’ and ‘value’ assets
>doesn’t understand what happens in an inflationary cycle

Yes, EU stocks will be volatile (which is why I said they will be fucked). The whole of the EU revolves around the German economy. The rest are in it for the stability and the give. Germany are facing some serious shit, which means the likes of Italy will default on its debts but can’t be bailed out. This will mean trouble for the EU and is the reason ECB can’t raise rates to even look like they’re fighting inflation.
US stocks have still way more correction to go, due to the weight of tech and that tech is a ‘Growth’ asset. It means what the term implies. If we enter recession (which we most definitely are) then growth goes into reverse. There’s no dividends for investors to hang around for.
This is why the FTSE hasn’t hardly budged. It’s full of oil, energy, boomer stocks that pay big dividends. Investors need these dividends to keep their portfolios being eroded by inflation.
In pic related shows you what the S&P 500 did in the last inflationary cycle which was in the 70’s.

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US has a debt of 20 trillion, while the EU has a debt of 60 trillion.


That's not a stable economy, it's a ticking time bomb.

>EU is the only region where stocks are growing

>the US is still the world's largest economy.

You know the US is a huge country right?

Wrong it's over 30 trillion now.

Market soars on Ukraine collapse and surprise end of the special operation. Massive short squeeze to new highs, s&p ~5100, then we crash for real after June FOMC.

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asian mkts already open
not looking gud

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The (((Ukraine war))) isn’t going to end anytime soon. They haven’t gone to all this trouble to stop now. Something has to be the focal point with the global fuel, energy and food shortages coming this year.

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EU has more growth, but US has more growth in the long run.

If the US were to lose growth, the EU would have more growth in the long run.

Global stagflation. No one will have any growth. The US petrodollar is the reserve currency. It’s all based on oil and the US reserves are at multi decade low. There’s no supply coming. The US goes into recession the rest of the world follows.

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They will pivot to China.
Ukraine regulars know that fighting is pointless, and watched the AZOV guys surrender. They are on the verge of fragging their COs so they can return home. No Ukrainian wants to die for Zelensky.

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Also, it’s a massive White Swan, because no one expects the war to just end.
>but Putin wanted to wrap it up in May
And he will.

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US is not going to lose growth, the only thing that will happen is that the stock market will go down, and that's only temporary.

And I don't think that the US is going to have a stagflation, it's going to have a normal economic growth.

It’s possible that the war ending could be used as a pivot by the Fed for one last bazooka of QE which will send the stock market to new highs citing that more QE is needed to deter from stagflation threat caused by the war. Melt up before melt down (which is what Michael Burry believes)
If that does happen user, I’ll throw you a bone. Put every last cent you own in Polymetal. You will never see a stock rebound as hard.

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