Outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war

So here's what's likely going to happen:

The fighting is going to get continuously more fierce. The Russian military is going to receive a bit of a revitalization for a final push ending with limited gains just to get bogged down again even harder.
Mariupol will be sized whilst Kiev never gets occupied. Somewhere in between 1- to 3 months from now on serious peace talks will begin.
>Russia seizes Donetsk Oblast , Luhansk Oblast, possibly Kherson Oblast
>Russia seizes parts of Chernihiv Oblast, Sumy Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast.
>Ukraine does not demilitarize
>Ukraine does not go trough "Denazification"
>NATO officials and Ukraine guarantees that Ukraine will not enter NATO
>Ukraine does not give guarantees of them not seeking EU membership

The Russian state and Russian supporters here will then begin the biggest cope operation that the world has ever seen. A complete denial of the obvious massive casualties Russia suffered.
Acting as if this war ("NOO IT WASN'T AKTULLY A WAR!!!11!1) all went according to plan and not at all a gigantic embarrassing failure from the supposed mighty Russian military.
And yes, get ready for the; "it wasn't actually a war, it was special operation to save Donetsk and Luhansk all along. Russia didn't fully commit!" cope. Also the; "but Russia technically won!" cope. Reminiscent of the Russian Winter War propaganda still in existence.

Thoughts?

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rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE300/PE330/RAND_PE330.pdf
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>So here's what's likely going to happen:
>Putin will get his Banan

OK...?

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>Mariupol will be seized
How is that possible?

pretty accurate assesment.
but in all this
>holy fuck why cant shills just move back to fucking reddit?
>i dont care we're ~50 users otherwise holy fuck

*shills from both sides

>Thoughts?
You will continue to kidnap somali's, every last one of them, and force them to be refugees in Sweden.

The bottom line is that they are surrounded by a sizable military force. They are holding on surprisingly well, but if push comes to shove it will likely fall. Every extra second they hold is an additional embarrassment to the russians, but it'd take something extraordinary to actually save the city.

>Thoughts?
Your mother will continue to get gangbanged by immigrants.

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>"durr yu don knoew shyt, therez a hol in te ukreinan defens!!1111!"

>They are holding on surprisingly wel

they are fighting for their lives.
afaik they are a pramilitary group and thus not covered by geneva.
and boi are the ruskis hard for some azov boipussi.

theres also the element of azov hiding among civilians and ivans trying to avoid collateral damage.
and azov shooting on people trying to leave the city

the whole ukrainian war is a raging dumpsterfire

its too early to judge, a lot of things depend on how the peace talks will go
>how motivated are ukrainians after few months
>will russians declare actual war and mobilize
>will russia default
>how much will NATO escalate support
>how fierce is the resistance in occupied cities
and much more
on both sides conceding even a bit means a loss and likely an overthrow, logically the best thing would be ukrainians getting separatists states, acknowledging Crimea and insuring that they wont join NATO, not gonna happen though

>>will russia default
How many countries lost a war by defaulting?

The outcome is seething ziggers and chabad kikes shitting their pants with Putin and Zelensky failing to establish New Khazaria.

azov is a meme, there are actual military forces there too. And the fact remains that the city was a DAY ONE objective for the monkeys and it's now been almost a month.

>Acting as if this war ("NOO IT WASN'T AKTULLY A WAR!!!11!1) all went according to plan and not at all a gigantic embarrassing failure from the supposed mighty Russian military.
Oh yeah, this will happen 100%. They always do this.

theres alot of day one objectives.
the whole affair was supposed to be over in 72 hours.
its a big fuckup on behalf of the ivans.

still
ru > nato.
otherwise you would be in the process of being drafted to die for the hohols.

and im not the one saying that...
rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/perspectives/PE300/PE330/RAND_PE330.pdf
press.armywarcollege.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2860&context=parameters

so please,
fuck off back to retard with your useless spam
or actually dont
the reason im here is to make human pinatas of you shills

Here is my take, biden will travel to poland in the coming days, poland will get involved in the war, and try to pull all of NATO into it, putain will immediatly nuke the shit out of poland, america and EU wont do shit in response and just look the other way.

admittedly none to my knowledge, however keep in mind that Russia is a unique case, where oligarchs are tied to the government tightly (hence the name) to the point where they are politicians with quiet considerable public prominence, and they would not like worlds investors completely turning their backs away from a soon to be greece. mix that in with angry generals who dont want to send their boys to die and you have a coup

>YOU MUST SUPPORT THE ROTTEN EMPIRE WITH DELUSIONS OF GRANDEUR BECAUSE IT OPPOSES THE OTHER ROTTEN EMPIRE
no

i support neither
its not like if i proverbially suck the cock of one party or another that its gonna influence the war as a whole.

if theres truth to be stated i state them
if there are bucks to be broken i break em
simple as
no hidden agenda
only mine and a pretty obvious one.

yall faggots are inferior to me and you should be made to bow.
simple as.

It's pretty much being called out by all military strategist ive heard anywhere. Russia fucked up their invasion badly.