I think what Russian Fedearation's breakdown is inevitable, due to current lossing, humiliating war, social tensions caused by increasing poverty, Putin's regimes authoritarian tendencies, social sphere and economic degradation, and international isolation from developed world current russian state is about to meets it's end. Russian identity is humiliated beyond any measures, leading to RF's breakdown and formation of new identities.
Most likely states to emerge from crumbling Russian State:
Nothing in the Far East will break away because they're too underpopulated compared to China. They'll be taken over immediately. They want to be protected by Russian nuclear weapons.
Josiah Gutierrez
Siberian identity is big stuff in region, plus they have located nuclear weapon, so I don't see any problem with it's seccesion
Jayden Powell
>they have located nuclear weapon Doesn't mean they can use them. The codes will be held by leadership in Moscow. And I don't think it matters so much if Siberian have a regional identity. There aren't enough of them. They'll just become a minority within China.
Jace Martinez
>They'll be taken over immediately Why don't they take Mongolia and Tainwan then?
William Gray
Codes are decentralized IIRC
Colton Robinson
You know xi will go north if Russia truly crumbles, unless if he learned his lesson from Putin
Noah Perry
kalmykia gets republic all those uralic/finnic people dont
ewwwwwwww
Justin Watson
I think Putine would go full slaughter mode if there were even a 1% chance of that happening.
The dissolution of the RF would also be REALLY bad for US dissidents. Think we have it bad now, imagine when there's no countervailing force. Hint: China is not one.
Justin Barnes
Taiwan is a different situation. Amphibious landings are incredibly difficult and it's questionable if China could pull that off today. Now for Mongolia, that doesn't happen because it would antagonize Russia for very little gain.
Camden Myers
They are minorities, so I don't see any prospects of them having independent state
Logan Scott
>The amount of Copium needed to create this thread
Jason Hall
Those are old weapons from the soviet days. It would be the same situation as Ukraine in 1991. They inherited about 1,500 nuclear weapons but the codes to arm and fire were held by the Russian leadership, so the weapons were effectively useless. Ukraine would have had to dismantle and rebuild them to create their own codes. It's an expensive and time consuming project, and Siberia likely wouldn't even have the expertise available to do it.
Andrew Edwards
>the amount of coping then youtube is blocked dollar is skyrocketing and aviation is gone.
Joseph Gray
who knows, who know. Yet I don't still see the possibility for Chinese to invade crumbling Russia without a prospects of western condemnation
Jayden Watson
bump
Cooper Howard
500 komi people 600 000 mari people 600 000 erzya 600 000 udmurts
and only 150 000 kalmyks but no they are minority educate yourself
Colton Diaz
>western condemnation Sure, but condemnation is just talk. Would the West do anything? I don't believe so.