The MAD balance has changed, Putin has nothing to lose. The Russian economy will be fucked in a few weeks, they have been completely isolated and made a pariah. Kicked out of all sports is the final straw.
Putin fears he may be ousted so he launches 5-6 tactical nukes (25kt - 50kt range) against NATO bases in Europe. What then? NATO replies in kind and so does Russia until full scale exchange or NATO replies in full force then again there will be a full scale exchange. Realistic outcome is UN meetings and negotiation, the west will never reply with nukes, they are run by woman and men in dresses, they don't have the stomach and everything to lose. Putin wins and holds on to power, small scale nuke it is the logical action.
>in before he'll never do it
He just invaded a fucking country.
>in before any ICBM launch will trigger full exchange
Does not need to use ICBM - any short/medium range SRBM or nuclear tipped cruise missile will do.
this is the reality of the situation putin is against the wall it doesn't really matter what side you're shilling for nukes are going to fly and you faggots are shilling for nothing you have no idea this was the plan from the beginning
Daniel Russell
he will be killed by his own people if he entertains the idea of launching nukes. it would mean instant vaporization of russia
Cameron Rogers
>putin has been preparing for this for years and the west has pretty much reacted the way everyone would have predicted >but now he's basically forced to a nuclear first strike which one is it? it doesn't really add up