60% of Russia's entire battle-ready units now placed on Ukraine's north-east-south borders. Or in other terms: 100 out of 168 total BTGs that Russia possesses currently, have been relocated to the Ukrainian frontier partially for "military drills", partially for undeclared reasons.
Picture 1: shows military field hospitals appearing in Belarus close to Kiev. (Gomel region)
Picture 2: shows a convoy of Toyota Hiluxes together with military support vehicles, spotted heading towards Belarus. Shaded Toyota Hiluxes are known to be used by Russia's elite SSO (Russia's version of JSOC) SSO was the first special ops unit deployed to Crimea in 2014 to shutdown Crimean airports, destroy Ukrainian military communications, and secure government buildings.
Picture 3: Russia declares no-go zones (red) in the Black Sea, for "firing exercises". If you look at the placement of those zones, this is virtually a full sea blockade of Ukraine.
Picture 4: shows Russian military camps in Belarus housing Russian soldiers that recently arrived.
Picture 5: Russia's amphibious assault ships have entered the Black Sea after a long journey from the Baltic Sea. (with a brief stop in Syria)
Picture 6: military logistical vehicle spotted among military convoys inside Ukraine's breakaway regions of LNR and DNR.
Additional info: - Poklonskaya announced her journey to Ukraine's breakaway region next week (for "administrative talks") - Russia teased the possibility of recognizing the breakaway republics as independent, also next week - Head of Russian Intelligence Service announced "islamic extremists" are assembling in Eastern Ukraine. - High-level Russian politicians and diplomats are seem to have lost interest in talking with their western counterparts, and are either walking out of meetings, or ignoring meetings all together.
>just start already for fuck sake You do realize that people like you are actually victims of Russia's military tactics? Since NATO has a lot of technical capabilities to track Russian military activity, they could easily guess what are Russia's military plans (in terms of intensity, vectors of attack, etc.) To compensate for this, Russia professes in "maskirovka" tactics: moving its military units in a way that would seem confusing for any military-intel observer, and would make guessing the time of the attack exceptionally hard. This is why the west is sounding alarm bells too early, first panic-withdrawing its citizens/diplomats from Ukraine, then walking back on statements, then restarting the panic. Most social media open-resource observers fall for the tactics as well. And the accuracy of anybody's guess on when the war begins is directly proportionate to Russia's level of "maskirovka" tactics proficiency
