>Will Russia go to war with Ukraine?
Yes
>When?
Doesn't matter. You can have different arguments for why war is better now than later, or different arguments why war is better later than now. "When" is irrelevant. What matters is that war will happen.
>Why?
Because the current status quo is unsustainable. It is impossible to imagine peace and stability in eastern Europe where Russia's biggest direct neighbor is ideologically/politically hostile to Russia, has disputed territory with Russia, a frozen conflict in the east, and is armed by NATO with lethal weapons.
>How would the war look like?
The only ones who knows this are probably the top military brass of Russia. The war plans are a state secret and anyone who pretends to know them is an attention whore. It could be small, it could be big. It could be a combination of both.
>Would this war trigger WW3?
No. But it would send shockwaves that would likely either destroy or significantly reshape the rules of international order. It could reshape the security configuration of Europe, Asia, and even reshape EU itself.
>Can Russia be deterred from the war?
No. For Russia putting this war away is equivalent to putting away a visit to the doctor while having a dangerous infection. The longer you way, the higher the price you'll have to pay in the end. The only question is how much it will be willing to wait until the inevitable visit to the doctor (aka, war).
>Is Russia scared of sanctions?
No. Because every list of sanctions EU/USA prepare will be put into force regardless of whether Russia goes to war or not. The west doesn't use a carrot-and-stick policy towards Russia. They only use the stick policy. There's no carrots. Never were. Russia learned this the hard way.
>Is Russia scared of Javelins or guerillas?
Yes, maybe to some degree. But not to a degree to be scared off from fighting. Russians will come up with counter-measures against all odds, and then YOLO.
Ukraine/Russia FAQ
Other urls found in this thread:
en.wikipedia.org
youtube.com
i.4cdn.org
twitter.com
Putin fears the revenge of the Chuds
en.wikipedia.org
I think its all bluff.
If Putin was going to launch a full scale invasion. He wouldn't announce to the world that he was going to do. He would move in a like lightening bolt.
This is all politics and distraction.
Thread theme
youtube.com
>He wouldn't announce to the world that he was going to do
He didn't announce anything.
>He would move in a like lightening bolt.
You can't go to war against the biggest country in Europe without a long military buildup. So no lightning bolts
YOU THINK FINLAND LOST?? YOU SHOULD SEE THE OTHER GUY, HE WAS CREMATED
Nothing will happen and this is all likely a show for Russia to get the USA to kick them off SWIFT so China can release its own intra bank network and say the west forced them due to sanctioning Russia for moving troops in its own borders
>Nothing will happen
>2013
Russia takes Crimea away from Ukraine
>2015
Russia smashes Ukrainian offensive in Donbass, encircling and thousands of soldiers with WW2-style tactics
>2022
I PROMISE YOU NOTHING WILL HAPPEN, BECAUSE NOTHING EVER HAPPENS
THERE'S NO ONGOING WAR IN UKRAINE OR ANYTHING YOU KNOW
Americans and Germans are lily livered cowards
Most likely all bs but i can see why russia would be upset with ukraine, basically allowing their rivals to set up shop right on their border, which btw used to be russia so its a double cucking.. but who knows nothing ever happens
Kys, Slav bot
Crimea is 90% ethnic Russian was Russian territory for all time outside of 1990-2013 and was there only warm water port they have access to year round
Eastern Ukraine is Useless fields and the and no where near as homogeniously Russian as Crimea
Crimes there would be little internal resistance and massive reward eastern Ukraine is massive internal resistance no reward
This is all theater
A bit of land to connect the Crimea to the motherland... priceless.
In the age of flying machines and mechanized ships taking on tens of millions of peasants who want nothing to do with you isn’t worth some roads you could bum rush down if you ever even needed them
You say this only because you learned some facts about Crimea.
Wait until you learn some facts about Ukraine as a whole. Most likely you will, after the war.
>>Would this war trigger WW3?
Yes it will because China will take the opportunity to take all the holdings they desire in the far east and south east asia.
The middle east will get involved because it will affect their bottom line
and Africa will get involved because it will be their first opportunity to get involved in global politics and to make a difference.
Maximum China would do is take Taiwan
and that's not enough to trigger a nuclear war, because WW3 is exactly that - nuclear war
>WW3 is exactly that - nuclear war
There's nothing to say it won't escalate to that point, especially if a nuclear power is down to it's last resort.
>Maximum China would do is take Taiwan
for now but wars evolve bro. Once they have Taiwan why not something else?
>Yes
lolno. That would basically be a civil war and give NATO exactly what they want. Putin has more actual experience in these matter than all and every world leader combined. It will be a gradual absorption.
Well except few vids and some hot sensation. Nothing actually happened. What's your point ?
>There's nothing to say it won't escalate to that point, especially if a nuclear power is down to it's last resort.
There is. A simple cost/benefit calculus is enough to determine whether it would escalate to a nuclear war.
Both Ukraine and Taiwan are too small-fry for any state to risk a nuclear standoff.
>for now but wars evolve bro. Once they have Taiwan why not something else?
Wars aren't waged just because you can wage a war. And territories aren't taken just because you can take territories.
This is not a fucking RTS video game.
Atlanticists want a war in europe but france, germany and many more realize what a disaster this would be and push back. The results of the neocon war mongering are starting to appear, european distrust and a destabilized ukraine. The opposite of what they were hoping for.
>civil war
your crystal ball is shiny and expensive, but is spouting a lot of BS
Just because CNN tells you it would be a civil war, doesn't mean it would be.
If Russia cuts all means of communications within the country, it would be close to impossible to even organize a civil war.
Most civil wars today are curated through social networks like Twitter or Telegram.
You cut the internet, and your civil war is down the toilet
>Once they have Taiwan why not something else?
Would depend on how the 'main war' was going. If there's a bigger opportunity, they'll go for more.
Phase 1: Russia took Crimea
Phase 2: Russia gave full support to Donbass (which by the way geographically by area is comparable to the size of a baltic country)
Phase 3: ??????
Russia will get BTFO obviously. Their military tech is a bunch of outdated crap.
>inb4 muh tanks
All they do is larp because they are irrelevant shithole. They better stop because at this point it's just embarrassing.
There will be no war. Dumb jew backed himself into a corner with no exit strategy. His entire game plan was based on a bluff that NATO/US would throw the hohols under the bus and move on, but they didn't. He should an hero.
People like you win wars on forum boards.
Russia wins wars on the actual battlefield.
Georgia 2008.
Crimea+Donbass 2014.
Syria 2015.
Mali and Central African Republic 2019+
All of these required minimal military commitment from Russia.
Imagine what if it puts at least 50% of its forces to work
>Russia will get BTFO obviously. Their military tech is a bunch of outdated crap.
It ain't the 90s anymore, Boomer.
is every polack as retarded as you?
asking for a friend
Uhhh yes atleast the ones I know a drug addicts that hate russia
I like Russia though. And have no interest in the Ukraine.