I work for a major think tank.
Yesterday we had a small briefing on Ukraine by a top official of the US State Department. A couple of diplomats were also invited.
Chatham House Rule was applied, so I can't tell you the identity of the people in the meeting, nor can I quote them directly. But I can tell you my impression. Remember, he didn't tell us any state secrets, he was just simply being more frank with us than he would be publically.
So, from an hour of bullshit these are the relevant informations:
>the current threat is very real, much more real than people realize
>2014 was a test run, the Russians initially planned a whole invasion back then, as far as the US military intelligence thinks, but only a couple months after Crimea and Donbass - they didn't do it because the sanctions and threats worked, Moscow suffered a bigger economic blow than what they were prepared for
>now is different, Russia has built up safeguards against the most effective sanctions, and have become stronger economically over the years
>They will not back down without something to show off as a victory - either diplomatic concessions or military campaign and/or annexation
>the worst part is that while he didn't say it this way, we all felt that what he meant was that the US doesn't think it could be solved peacefully anymore
>the US DOESN'T have plans for resolving it through diplomacy, at least not yet. They don't seem to have come up with possible compromises, and they don't want to give up anything
>BUT, the US does already have plans in case Russia attacks, and for all possible scenarios (only Donbas or eastern Ukraine or all the way to Kyiv)
>regarding these scenarios, the opinion of the military intelligence is that Russia is not preparing for a small skirmish or incursion, no, they are getting ready for a big invasion, most possibly all the way to the Dnieper
>at least that's what the troop movements, arrangement of tank and missile battalions and supply chains tell us
(1/2)
It's not looking good, bros
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Tanks. LOL. Just drop 15t of anvils on them from 10km up. Bonk.
Also, it's related but wasn't discussed at this event, I heard it from friends just a rumor, so take it with a grain of salt:
>some parties within the Pentagon and the alphabet agencies try to get Biden into turning Ukraine another Afghanistan for Russia
>plan would be to push Russia into invasion, but keep out the US and NATO officially, while supplying shitton of wepons to the Ukrainians
>preferably the whole thing turns into a years long urban, guerilla fighting nightmare for Russia which bleeds them dry economically
>Biden has been rejecting this plan so far, but they keep pressuring him
I thought this was just schizo larp until yesterday, but that talk made me wonder if it's true, and that's why the US doesn't seem to bother about solving it peacefully.
It frankly creeps me out.
(2/2)
Why can't they just encircle Ukriane by pushing across via Belarus and then working their way in to Kiev?
Op is a fag. And never ever happens.
Military analysts were pointing why they are massing troops in Belarus. It's very easy from there to strike to Kiev
Tanks have wage cages now?
>the current threat is very real, much more real than people realize
aaaaaand saged and tab closed and thread hidden, fuck off larping retarded glownigger
>the US DOESN'T have plans for resolving it through diplomacy, at least not yet.
not a USA problem
but thanks for the info insideranon
LARPing fed-shill. Nothing is going to happen, nothing ever happens.And the few things that sometimes happen have the tendency of being nothingburgers.
Like this
They can landlock Ukraine and and encircle the core
>It's not looking good, bros
I agree
Forgot picrel
(Yes i'm phonefagging right now, deal with it trannys)
They just have to put enough pressure on capital to get Ukraine to agree on their terms
We deserve to lose because we have failed our good men.
I don’t want to die in a nuclear hellfire lads…
Makes sence, do you think russia will be preying on your nation next if they were to have sucess in ukraine?
Anti air shield.
>It's not looking good, bros
>>the US DOESN'T have plans for resolving it through diplomacy,
Why is the US in the border of Russia?
Ohhh noooo not the Ukrainarinooo
What will we do with all the cutie refugee puss
No. They can't do shit as we are members of Nato. They said somewhere that if we were not members of Nato Crimea Donbas would be happening here to but now they can suck my Willy.
if they plan to attack Kyiv thats the rout they will follow, but also take everything else from east of that, no point in attacking just the capital
plus the battle of Kyiv would likely go down as an another Aleppo, who knows when will it end, if ever
yes, there's gonna be three offensive routes, from Crimea, from Donbas and from Belarus, but they need to be coordinated
NATO should have a lot of diplomatic options, we can't risk getting pulled into it
>LARPing fed-shill
>fuck off larping retarded glownigger
Again, this is real, but not evidence to anything. The meeting gave me this impression but he wasn't in a position to tell us anything in detail, nor would it mean that we're heading to war, only that we might be closer to that than we think.
Actually are to decrease top attack muntion effectivity
You're not going to, if putin calls their bluff they will fold like a cheap chair. They always do.
>preferably the whole thing turns into a years long urban, guerilla fighting nightmare for Russia
Just like Crimea?
So conside4ing that you must be pro-NATO?
What would happen if the alliance were to faulter though?
Is the EU also a strategic alliance?
Any guesses on the timeframe? The longer Putin waits the more prepared Ukraine becomes and the more costly the invasion will be.
youtube.com
this video say you are a faggot, nukes are hoax dummy
>some parties within the Pentagon and the alphabet agencies try to get Biden into turning Ukraine another Afghanistan for Russia
I can now sleep peacefully knowing that US glowies are incompetent.
There will be no war with Ukraine. Russia will invade, Ukrainian army will shit its pants and either surrender, desert or outright switch sides. A huge chunk of Ukrainian population will outright welcome Russian invasion, because... wait for it: they're basically Russians themselves.
we're talking about larger areas and way bigger cities, user, with considerable Ukrainian population
literally less than 7 days. They will just crumble like an american mdf new build.
What if the bomb chyernobly and set off a huge leak as a retarded plan to slow down the Russians
Also the possible nukes in Ukraine
That place is a potential ticking timebomb
>another Afghanistan for Russia
They are seriously this retard ? I know the shithead are dumb on History, but Russia is one of those nation which learn. Losing or winning the wars, they learn ! And they probably have learned from multiple recent wars where they weren't involved, but USA was.
US retards are probably this dumb, still nothing will happen as usual.
>they are getting ready for a big invasion
with 150000 troops?
u gay
think tank...can someone post a tank with a brain for a top please!?
>US
Stopped reading right here.
Nobody cares about Amerisharts.
Do these geniuses know that half of Ukraine would welcome Russian troops as Liberators in the same way Crimea does?
I would say I shit on Germans and French frogs as they are worthless as allies. But I do believe there are still countries worth counting on like Poland aor UK. As for Eu it's failed project and wet German dream to make EU federation. We failed when mutti invited all them teachers and engineers
Sounds like your intel is dirty. Glow on.
Not enough ragheads to facilitate that, the average ukranian young man would rather focus on doing normal stuff.
Why the fuck do you care so much about Jewkraine? It's rightful Russian clay and someone needs to restore democacy in Jewkraine by ousting the unelected jew puppet who was installed after a violent Western organized coup overthrew its democratically elected leader Yanukovych.
bitchute.com
you will not survive this winter ...
Nothingburger